Variations in the Intensity and Spatial Extent of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation

被引:52
作者
Touma, Danielle [1 ,2 ]
Stevenson, Samantha [1 ]
Camargo, Suzana J. [3 ]
Horton, Daniel E. [4 ]
Diffenbaugh, Noah S. [2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch Environm Sci & Management, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
[2] Stanford Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
[3] Columbia Univ, Lamt Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA
[4] Northwestern Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Evanston, IL USA
[5] Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
关键词
tropical cyclone precipitation; Atlantic tropical cyclones; station precipitation data; geostatistics; ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY; EASTERN UNITED-STATES; EL-NINO; RAINFALL; CLIMATE; TRENDS; OSCILLATION; VARIABILITY; FREQUENCY; LANDFALL;
D O I
10.1029/2019GL083452
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The intensity and spatial extent of tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) often shapes the risk posed by landfalling storms. Here we provide a comprehensive climatology of landfalling TCP characteristics as a function of tropical cyclone strength, using daily precipitation station data and Atlantic U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone tracks from 1900 to 2017. We analyze the intensity and spatial extent of >= 1 mm/day TCP (Z(1)) and >= 50 mm/day TCP (Z(50)) over land. We show that the highest median intensity and largest median spatial extent of Z(1) and Z(50) occur for major hurricanes that have weakened to tropical storms, indicating greater flood risk despite weaker wind speeds. We also find some signs of TCP change in recent decades. In particular, for major hurricanes that have weakened to tropical storms, Z(50) intensity has significantly increased, indicating possible increases in flood risk to coastal communities in more recent years.
引用
收藏
页码:13992 / 14002
页数:11
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