How was the quantitative easing program of the 1930s Unwound?

被引:2
作者
Jaremski, Matthew [1 ]
Mathy, Gabriel [2 ]
机构
[1] Colgate Univ, NBER, 13 Oak Dr, Hamilton, NY 13346 USA
[2] Amer Univ, 4400 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20016 USA
关键词
Quantitative easing; Excess reserves; Gold flows; Great depression; GREAT-DEPRESSION; MONETARY-POLICY; LESSONS; RESERVE; CRISIS; PROPAGATION; BANKS; RISK;
D O I
10.1016/j.eeh.2017.10.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Outside of the recent past, excess reserves have only concerned policymakers in one other period: the Great Depression. The data show that excess reserves in the 1930s were never actively unwound through a reduction in the monetary base. Nominal economic growth swelled required reserves while an exogenous reduction in monetary gold inflows due to war embargoes in Europe allowed excess reserves to naturally decline towards zero. Excess reserves fell rapidly in early 1941 and would have unwound fully even without the entry of the United States into World War II. Consequently, policy tightening was at no point necessary and could have contributed to the 1937-1938 Recession. (C) 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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页码:27 / 49
页数:23
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