Craters and ejecta on Pluto and Charon: Anticipated results from the New Horizons flyby

We examine the flux of bodies striking Pluto and Charon, and the nature of the crater populations that will form as a result of these impacts. Assuming impact speeds of 2 km/s and an impact angle of 45 degrees, a 1 km impactor will form a 4.2 km diameter transient crater on Pluto, and a similar to 5.0 km crater on Charon, as compared with 8-13 km for several mid-sized satumian satellites and 8-10 km for the icy Galilean satellites. We predict that secondary craters will be present in the crater size-frequency distribution (SFD) for Pluto and Charon at sizes less than a few km, at spatial densities comparable to the range seen on the mid-sized saturnian satellites and distinctly less than seen on the icy Galilean satellites. Pluto should have more secondary craters formed per primary impact than Charon, so if neither crater population on these bodies is in saturation, Charon's crater SFD should be the "cleanest" reflection of the primary, impacting SFD. Ejecta from Pluto and Charon escape more efficiently from the combined system, relative to ejecta from a satellite in orbit around a giant planet, due to the absence of a large central body. We estimate that Kuiper Belt Objects (KBOs) with diameters larger than 1 km should strike Pluto and Charon on (nominal) timescales of 2.2 and 10 million years, respectively. These estimates are uncertain because the numbers of small KBOs are poorly constrained. Our estimated rates are smaller than earlier predictions of impact rates, primarily because we assume a KBO size distribution that is shallower overall than previous studies did. The impact rate, combined with the observed crater SFD, will enable estimates of relative and absolute age of different geologic units, should different geologic units exist. We explore two scenarios in regards to the crater population: (1) a shallow (differential power-law index of p similar to 2, i.e. for dN/dD proportional to D-p, based on the crater SFD observed on young terrains of Galilean and saturnian satellites; and (2) a slightly steeper SFD (p similar to 3), based on extrapolations of larger (similar to 100 km) KBOs from ground-based surveys. If the observed primary crater SFD, at diameters less than a few tens of km, is consistent with a differential power-law index p similar to 2, that will confirm that KBOs are deficient in small bodies relative to extrapolations from known similar to 100 km KBOs, consistent with expectations derived from examination of crater populations in young terrains on the Galilean and saturnian satellites. If the crater SFD has p 3 over all observed sizes, then that power-law index applies across the KBO population over at least two orders of magnitude (1 km to 100 km objects), and there must be some process that erodes the small KBOs when they migrate to the Jupiter-Saturn region of the Solar System. Whatever SFD is observed, the primary crater population on Pluto and Charon will provide the strongest constraint on the SFD of small KBOs, which will be beyond the observational reach of ground- and space-based telescopes for years to come. This, in turn, will provide a fundamental constraint for further understanding of the evolution of this distant and compelling population of bodies beyond Neptune. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.