Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527-1864

被引：10
作者：
Palma, Nuno [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Reis, Jaime [2 ]
Zhang, Mengtian [4 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Manchester, Dept Econ, Manchester, Lancs, England
[2] Univ Lisbon, Inst Ciencias Sociais, Lisbon, Portugal
[3] CEPR, Washington, DC USA
[4] London Sch Econ, Dept Econ, London, England
来源：
HISTORICAL METHODS | 2020年 / 53卷 / 01期
关键词：
demographic reconstructions; early modern Portugal; nineteenth century Portugal; INVERSE PROJECTION; BACK-PROJECTION; MALTHUS RIGHT; ENGLAND; GROWTH; RATES;
D O I：
10.1080/01615440.2019.1666762
中图分类号：
K [历史、地理];
学科分类号：
06 ;
摘要：
We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered.
引用
收藏
页码：11 / 27
页数：17
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