beta diversity;
climate change;
disappearing assemblages;
ensemble modelling;
hummingbirds;
no-analogue assemblages;
novel assemblages;
species distribution modelling;
NO-ANALOG COMMUNITIES;
CLIMATE-CHANGE;
FUNCTIONAL DIVERSITY;
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION;
FLIGHT PERFORMANCE;
CONSERVATION;
MODELS;
DISTRIBUTIONS;
TEMPERATURE;
DIVERSIFICATION;
D O I:
10.1111/ddi.12587
中图分类号:
X176 [生物多样性保护];
学科分类号:
090705 ;
摘要:
AimUnder climate change, it is likely that as species reshuffle based on their environmental tolerances, novel assemblages will form and some current assemblages will disappear. It is important for future monitoring and conservation that we understand where these novel and disappearing assemblages occur and how they differ among dimensions (taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional) of diversity. Here we investigate the geographical and environmental patterns of novel and disappearing assemblages; whether these patterns hold across dimensions of diversity; and how these assemblages are characterized in trait space. LocationEcuador. MethodsWe used ensemble species distribution modelling to estimate the distributions of 151 hummingbird species into the projected climate for 2070. Using standard beta diversity measures, we identified novel and disappearing taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional assemblages. ResultsWe found that novel and disappearing hummingbird assemblages are likely under climate change, particularly in extreme environments and with novel assemblages replacing disappearing assemblages. Although the patterns of novel and disappearing assemblages were similar among dimensions of diversity, we found that there were fewest novel and disappearing functional assemblages. The future assemblages were characterized by an increase in functional space, which is counter to typical predictions of trait homogenization under climate change. Main conclusionsNovel and disappearing assemblages are likely to pose management challenges for future conservation. Here we present an approach to identify such assemblages. By considering the geographic and environmental context of novel and disappearing assemblages for different dimensions of diversity, we can start to identify the mechanisms behind these patterns.
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Bryant, Jessica A.
Lamanna, Christine
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Arizona, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Tucson, AZ 85721 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Lamanna, Christine
Morlon, Helene
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Morlon, Helene
Kerkhoff, Andrew J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Kenyon Coll, Dept Biol, Gambier, OH 43022 USA
Kenyon Coll, Dept Math, Gambier, OH 43022 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Kerkhoff, Andrew J.
Enquist, Brian J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Arizona, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA
Ctr Appl Biodivers, Arlington, VA 22202 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Enquist, Brian J.
Green, Jessica L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Buermann, Wolfgang
Chaves, Jaime A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Chaves, Jaime A.
Dudley, Robert
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Integrat Biol, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Smithsonian Trop Res Inst, Balboa, PanamaUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Dudley, Robert
McGuire, Jimmy A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Integrat Biol, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Univ Calif Berkeley, Museum Vertebrate Zool, Berkeley, CA 94720 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
McGuire, Jimmy A.
Smith, Thomas B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Smith, Thomas B.
Altshuler, Douglas L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Biol, Riverside, CA 92521 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Bryant, Jessica A.
Lamanna, Christine
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Arizona, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Tucson, AZ 85721 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Lamanna, Christine
Morlon, Helene
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Morlon, Helene
Kerkhoff, Andrew J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Kenyon Coll, Dept Biol, Gambier, OH 43022 USA
Kenyon Coll, Dept Math, Gambier, OH 43022 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Kerkhoff, Andrew J.
Enquist, Brian J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Arizona, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA
Ctr Appl Biodivers, Arlington, VA 22202 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
Enquist, Brian J.
Green, Jessica L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USAUniv Oregon, Ctr Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Buermann, Wolfgang
Chaves, Jaime A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Chaves, Jaime A.
Dudley, Robert
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Integrat Biol, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Smithsonian Trop Res Inst, Balboa, PanamaUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Dudley, Robert
McGuire, Jimmy A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Integrat Biol, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Univ Calif Berkeley, Museum Vertebrate Zool, Berkeley, CA 94720 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
McGuire, Jimmy A.
Smith, Thomas B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Smith, Thomas B.
Altshuler, Douglas L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Biol, Riverside, CA 92521 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Ctr Trop Res, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA