Likely market-penetrations of renewable-energy technologies

被引：27
作者：
Mackay, RM
Probert, SD
机构：
[1] Firs Hollow, Mackay Res, Sevenoaks TN13 1EL, Kent, England
[2] Cranfield Univ, Dept Appl Energy, Cranfield MK43 0AL, Beds, England
来源：
APPLIED ENERGY | 1998年 / 59卷 / 01期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1016/S0306-2619(97)00054-8
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
The learning-curve concept is considered to be an important tool for predicting the future costs of renewable-energy technology systems. This paper sets out the underlying rationale for learning-curve theory and the potential for its application to renewable technologies, such as photovoltaic-module and wind-power generator technologies. An indication of the data requirements for carrying out learning-curve projections is given together with an assessment of the requirements necessary, for an analysis to be undertaken of the application of learning curves to other renewable-energy technologies. The paper includes a cost comparison and a figure-of-merit criterion applicable to photovoltaic-module and wind-power-turbine technologies. (C) 1998 Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
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页码：1 / 38
页数：38
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