Should America save for its old age? Fiscal policy, population aging, and national saving

被引:38
作者
Elmendorf, DW [1 ]
Sheiner, LM
机构
[1] US Dept Treasury, Washington, DC 20226 USA
[2] Fed Reserve Board Governors, Washington, DC USA
关键词
D O I
10.1257/jep.14.3.57
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We examine whether the aging of the U.S. population adds force to traditional arguments for boosting national saving and conclude--perhaps surprisingly--that it may not. Aging boosts the demands on future resources, but it also changes the rate of return the U.S. economy can expect from saving. We find that the net effect on desired saving is small: some specifications imply that present consumption should fall by a fraction of 1 percent; others imply that consumption should actually increase. Thus, it is optimal to allow future cohorts to bear much/all of the burden of population aging.
引用
收藏
页码:57 / 74
页数:18
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