Low-cost renewable electricity as the key driver of the global energy transition towards sustainability

被引:543
作者
Bogdanov, Dmitrii [1 ]
Ram, Manish [1 ]
Aghahosseini, Arman [1 ]
Gulagi, Ashish [1 ]
Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon [1 ]
Child, Michael [1 ]
Caldera, Upeksha [1 ]
Sadovskaia, Kristina [1 ]
Farfan, Javier [1 ]
Noel Simas Barbosa, Larissa De Souza [2 ]
Fasihi, Mahdi [1 ]
Khalili, Siavash [1 ]
Traber, Thure [3 ]
Breyer, Christian [1 ]
机构
[1] LUT Univ, Yliopistonkatu 34, Lappeenranta 53850, Finland
[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Luiz De Queiroz Coll Agr, Piracicaba, SP, Brazil
[3] Energy Watch Grp, Albrechtstr 22, D-10117 Berlin, Germany
关键词
100% renewable energy; Energy transition; Sector coupling; Decarbonisation; Energy system optimisation; Power sector; Heat sector; Transport sector; POWER-TO-GAS; HEAT-PUMPS; COUNTRIES; FUELS; CO2; TECHNOLOGIES; GENERATION; RESOLUTION; SCENARIOS; CAPTURE;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2021.120467
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Climate change threats and the necessity to achieve global Sustainable Development Goals demand unprecedented economic and social shifts around the world, including a fundamental transformation of the global energy system. An energy transition is underway in most regions, predominantly in the power sector. This research highlights the technical feasibility and economic viability of 100% renewable energy systems including the power, heat, transport and desalination sectors. It presents a technology-rich, multi-sectoral, multi-regional and cost-optimal global energy transition pathway for 145 regional energy systems sectionalised into nine major regions of the world. This 1.5 degrees C target compatible scenario with rapid direct and indirect electrification via Power-to-X processes and massive defossilisation indicates substantial benefits: 50% energy savings, universal access to fresh water and low-cost energy supply. It also provides an energy transition pathway that could lead from the current fossil-based system to an affordable, efficient, sustainable and secure energy future for the world. (C) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 100 条
[11]  
[Anonymous], 2019, Global energy transformation: A roadmap to 2050, V2019
[12]  
[Anonymous], 2009, Abschlussbericht fur das BMBFVerbundprojekt Biogaseinspeisung
[13]   Large heat pumps in Swedish district heating systems [J].
Averfalk, Helge ;
Ingvarsson, Paul ;
Persson, Urban ;
Gong, Mei ;
Werner, Sven .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2017, 79 :1275-1284
[14]   A cost optimal resolution for Sub-Saharan Africa powered by 100% renewables in 2030 [J].
Barasa, Maulidi ;
Bogdanov, Dmitrii ;
Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon ;
Breyer, Christian .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2018, 92 :440-457
[15]   Towards an intermittency-friendly energy system: Comparing electric boilers and heat pumps in distributed cogeneration [J].
Blarke, Morten B. .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2012, 91 (01) :349-365
[16]  
[BNEF], 2015, BLOOMBERG NEW ENERGY, DOI [10.1017/CBO9781107415324.004, DOI 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.004]
[17]  
BNP Paribas Asset Management, 2019, WELLS WIR WHEELS ERO
[18]   Reply to 'Bias in energy system models with uniform cost of capital assumption' [J].
Bogdanov, Dmitrii ;
Child, Michael ;
Breyer, Christian .
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2019, 10 (1)
[19]   Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps [J].
Bogdanov, Dmitrii ;
Farfan, Javier ;
Sadovskaia, Kristina ;
Aghahosseini, Arman ;
Child, Michael ;
Gulagi, Ashish ;
Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon ;
Noel Simas Barbosa, Larissa de Souza ;
Breyer, Christian .
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2019, 10 (1)
[20]   North-East Asian Super Grid for 100% renewable energy supply: Optimal mix of energy technologies for electricity, gas and heat supply options [J].
Bogdanov, Dmitrii ;
Breyer, Christian .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2016, 112 :176-190