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Examining the underlying exposures of hit-and-run and non-hit-and-run crashes
被引:11
作者:
Jiang, Xinguo
[1
,2
]
Han, Mingqiang
[1
]
Guo, Runhua
[3
]
Zhang, Guopeng
[4
,5
]
Fan, Yingfei
[6
]
Li, Xiang
[1
]
Bai, Wei
[7
]
Wei, Mengmeng
[8
]
Liang, Qi
[9
]
机构:
[1] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Transportat & Logist, West Pk, Chengdu 611756, Peoples R China
[2] Natl Engn Lab Integrated Transportat Big Data App, West Pk, Chengdu 611756, Peoples R China
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Suite 217,Heshanheng Bldg, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[4] Zhejiang Normal Univ, Coll Engn, 688 Yingbin Rd, Jinhua 321004, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[5] Zhejiang Normal Univ, Key Lab Urban Rail Transit Intelligent Operat & M, Jinhua 321005, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[6] Taiyuan Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Transportat & Logist Engn, 66 Waliu Rd, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China
[7] Sichuan Police Coll, Dept Rd Traff Management, 186 Longtouguan Rd, Luzhou 646000, Peoples R China
[8] Sichuan Vocat & Tech Coll Commun, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China
[9] Sichuan Urban & Rural Investment & Construct Grp, 14 Jiuxing Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China
基金:
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词:
Hit-and-run crashes;
Quasi-induced exposure;
Injury severity;
Random parameter ordered logit model;
Two-vehicle crashes;
INJURY-SEVERITIES;
LOGIT MODEL;
ACCIDENTS;
VEHICLE;
ALCOHOL;
TIME;
HETEROGENEITY;
IMPACTS;
CHOICE;
RISK;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jth.2020.100995
中图分类号:
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号:
1004 ;
120402 ;
摘要:
Introduction: Hit-and-run crashes occur when the driver at fault leaves the scene without reporting, which could delay emergency response for the victims who are left. For this reason, it is assumed that hit-and-run crashes lead to more serious injuries; however, the research in this area is limited. The objectives of the study are to examine the differences in hit-and-run and non-hitand-run victim injury severities and to identify the factors that may influence any differences. Methods: Quasi-induced exposure technique, an indirect method, is employed to measure the relative crash exposures between hit-and-run and non-hit-and-run crashes using Michigan twovehicle injury crashes 2012-2014. Random parameter ordered logit model is used to reveal the discrepancy of the factors contributing to victim injury severity. Results: We found that the injuries sustained by the drivers left at the scene (victims) of hit-andrun crashes were generally less severe compared to non-hit-and-run driver victims, which may be attributed to the differential crash factors in terms of driver age and vehicle type. The injuryseverity contributing factors of hit-and-run crashes differed considerably from the non-hit-andrun crashes. Characteristics such as occurring in rural areas, at nighttime, at intersections, crash type, and alcohol involvement significantly increased the injury severities of the driver victims. Conclusion: We inform the hit-and-run literature to suggest a contradiction to the assumption that leaving the crash scene may lead to more serious injuries. This example emphasizes the importance of distinguishing different types of crashes and their contributing factors. We offer an indirect approach that can help to identify underlying factors and reduce bias, which can inform traffic safety methods and serve to propose effective safety countermeasures.
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页数:11
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