Personal and early life factors associated with new-onset asthma, remission, and persistence of asthma in a 2-year follow-up of schoolchildren

Objective: The natural course of childhood asthma, after its onset, is characterized by periods of persistence, relapse and remission. To investigate personal and early life factors associated with new-onset asthma, persistence and remission among children. Methods: The study was conducted in the province of Saskatchewan, Canada. Children in grades Kindergarten to Grade 8 (ages 5-14 years) participated in a cross-sectional study in 2013. In 2015, we approached those who gave consent in 2013 to be re-contacted, creating a prospective cohort. Data were collected using questionnaires in both years. Participants in 2013 who also had data in 2015 (25%: n = 324/1,348) had their asthma status reclassified and longitudinal descriptors were applied: "no asthma", "new-onset asthma", "persistent" or "remission". Personal and early life factors associations with asthma outcomes in 2015 were evaluated. Results: Among those without asthma in 2013 (n = 245), the incidence of new-onset asthma in 2015 was 7.2%. Among those with asthma in 2013 (n = 79), 47.1% had remission and 52.9% had persistent asthma in 2015. Parental history of asthma (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 4.99; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.88-28.27), early life respiratory infection (aOR: 1.92; 95%CI: 1.47-7.88), early life allergy [aOR: 6.39; 95%CI: 1.34-30.58) and early life infection (aOR: 4.99; 95%CI: 1.19-20.93) were associated with new onset asthma. Similarly, while parental history of asthma (aOR: 1.13; 95%CI: 0.29-4.34), early life respiratory infection (aOR: 2.71; 95%CI: 0.70-10.45), and early life ear infection (aOR: 1.34; 95%CI: 0.36-5.05) were also positively association with persistent asthma, the associations were not statistically significant. Conclusion: Parental history of asthma, early life respiratory infection and allergy might not only influence the onset of childhood asthma but also be associated with asthma persistence.