Energy trading strategy for storage-based renewable power plants

被引:11
作者
Miseta, Tamas [1 ]
Fodor, Attila [2 ]
Vathy-Fogarassy, Agnes [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pannonia, Dept Comp Sci & Syst Technol, Pannonia, Hungary
[2] Univ Pannonia, Dept Elect Engn & Informat Syst, Pannonia, Hungary
关键词
Electricity price prediction; LSTM network; Energy trading; Gradient descent optimization; Differential evolution optimization; PREDICTIVE CONTROL APPROACH; WIND POWER; DIFFERENTIAL EVOLUTION; PRICE; MODEL; MANAGEMENT; SYSTEM; GENERATION; OPERATION; OPTIMIZATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2022.123788
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Despite the continuous growth and the widespread support of renewable energy sources, solar and wind power plants pose new challenges for Transmission System Operators and Distribution System Opera-tors. Their uncontrollability limits their applicability; therefore, to encourage their further growth, fundamental modifications are needed. The research presented in this paper focuses on the predictive control of storage-based renewable power plants, and suggests a new model for profit optimization. Profit optimization is based on electricity price prediction and effective trading strategies that match the projected electricity prices. For the electricity price prediction, a recurrent Long Short-Term Memory neural network was developed and fine-tuned. For the optimization of the electricity trading, two trading strategies, namely an adaptive gradient-descent method and a differential evolution method were developed. Both optimization techniques were tested on mathematical models of most commer-cially available hybrid inverter systems and one year of historical data of electricity prices. As a result, a novel model predictive control workflow and sizing guide is proposed, which may significantly increase the profit generated by the system.(c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:14
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