Flood-Induced Displacement and Civil Conflict

被引：66
作者：
Ghimire, Ramesh [1 ]
Ferreira, Susana [1 ]
Dorfman, Jeffrey H. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Georgia, Athens, GA 30602 USA
来源：
WORLD DEVELOPMENT | 2015年 / 66卷
关键词：
climate change; climate/environmentally induced displacements; migration; civil conflict; floods; natural disasters; ECONOMIC SHOCKS; POLITICAL VIOLENCE; CLIMATE-CHANGE; MIGRATION; INEQUALITY; CONTAGION; SECURITY; POVERTY; AFRICA; WORLD;
D O I：
10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.09.021
中图分类号：
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号：
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要：
Large, catastrophic floods intensify environmental scarcity and can lead to mass displacement from affected areas. The sudden and mass influx of migrants could increase the risk of social tensions in receiving areas. In this paper, we analyze the impact of the displacement induced by large floods on civil conflict using historical data for 126 countries during 1985-2009. Our results suggest that while the displacement caused by large floods did not ignite new conflicts, it fueled existing conflicts. This effect was larger in developing countries and it receded with time, vanishing five years following the flood. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码：614 / 628
页数：15
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