Climate change impacts-throwing the dice?

被引:234
作者
Bloeschl, Guenter [1 ]
Montanari, Alberto [2 ]
机构
[1] Vienna Univ Technol, Inst Hydraul Engn & Water Resources Management, A-1040 Vienna, Austria
[2] Univ Bologna, Fac Engn, I-40136 Bologna, Italy
关键词
FRESH-WATER RESOURCES; FLOODS; RIVER; PREDICTIONS; HYDROLOGY; FUTURE;
D O I
10.1002/hyp.7574
中图分类号
TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];
学科分类号
081501 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:374 / 381
页数:8
相关论文
共 46 条
[31]   Flood frequency hydrology:: 1.: Temporal, spatial, and causal expansion of information [J].
Merz, Ralf ;
Bloeschl, Guenter .
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2008, 44 (08)
[32]  
Montanari A, 2003, THEORY AND APPLICATIONS OF LONG-RANGE DEPENDENCE, P461
[33]   Introduction to special section on Uncertainty Assessment in Surface and Subsurface Hydrology: An overview of issues and challenges [J].
Montanari, Alberto ;
Shoemaker, Christine A. ;
van de Giesen, Nick .
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2009, 45
[34]   What do we mean by 'uncertainty"? The need for a consistent wording about uncertainty assessment in hydrology [J].
Montanari, Alberto .
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2007, 21 (06) :841-845
[35]   A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles [J].
Murphy, J. M. ;
Booth, B. B. B. ;
Collins, M. ;
Harris, G. R. ;
Sexton, D. M. H. ;
Webb, M. J. .
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2007, 365 (1857) :1993-2028
[36]   Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations [J].
Rougier, Jonathan .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2007, 81 (3-4) :247-264
[37]   An optimality-based model of the dynamic feedbacks between natural vegetation and the water balance [J].
Schymanski, S. J. ;
Sivapalan, M. ;
Roderick, M. L. ;
Hutley, L. B. ;
Beringer, J. .
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2009, 45
[38]   IAHS decade on Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB), 2003-2012: Shaping an exciting future for the hydrological sciences [J].
Sivapalan, M ;
Takeuchi, K ;
Franks, SW ;
Gupta, VK ;
Karambiri, H ;
Lakshmi, V ;
Liang, X ;
McDonnell, JJ ;
Mendiondo, EM ;
O'Connell, PE ;
Oki, T ;
Pomeroy, JW ;
Schertzer, D ;
Uhlenbrook, S ;
Zehe, E .
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, 2003, 48 (06) :857-880
[39]   Linking flood frequency to long-term water balance:: Incorporating effects of seasonality -: art. no. W06012 [J].
Sivapalan, M ;
Blöschl, G ;
Merz, R ;
Gutknecht, D .
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2005, 41 (06) :1-17
[40]   The secret to 'doing better hydrological science': change the question! [J].
Sivapalan, Murugesu .
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2009, 23 (09) :1391-1396