Expectations' self-fulfillment and self-destroying in socio-economic systems

被引：0

作者：

Gao, Yan ^{[1
]}

Li, Honggang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Management, Dept Syst Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China

来源：

ICICTA: 2009 SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT COMPUTATION TECHNOLOGY AND AUTOMATION, VOL IV, PROCEEDINGS | 2009年

关键词：

expectations' self-fulfillment; expectations' self-destroying; socio-economic systems;

D O I：

10.1109/ICICTA.2009.790

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

Expectations' self-fulfillment and self-destroying coexist in socio-economic systems, which makes the evolution of the systems seem to be mysterious to us. We regard these collective phenomenon arise from people's ways to expect and act, namely, the expectation mode and action strategy, and propose a simple agent-based model in consideration of four direct combinations of general expectation modes and action strategies to detect the underlying mechanism. We find that the action strategy, or originally, the win-loss rule of the system, is indeed a crucial factor to determine whether the evolution of the systems would satisfy people's expectations.

引用

页码：310 / 313

页数：4