The multiplicity of analysis strategies jeopardizes replicability: lessons learned across disciplines

被引:32
作者
Hoffmann, Sabine [1 ,2 ]
Schoenbrodt, Felix [1 ,3 ]
Elsas, Ralf [1 ,4 ]
Wilson, Rory [6 ]
Strasser, Ulrich [7 ]
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure [1 ,2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, LMU Open Sci Ctr, Munich, Germany
[2] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Inst Med Informat Proc Biometry & Epidemiol, Med Sch, Munich, Germany
[3] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Dept Psychol Psychol Methods & Assessment, Munich, Germany
[4] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Munich Sch Management, Inst Finance & Banking, Munich, Germany
[5] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Fac Math Comp Sci & Stat, Dept Stat, Munich, Germany
[6] German Res Ctr Environm Hlth, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Inst Epidemiol, Res Unit Mol Epidemiol, Neuherberg, Germany
[7] Univ Innsbruck, Dept Geog, Innsbruck, Austria
关键词
replicability crisis; uncertainty; open science; interdisciplinary perspective; metaresearch; BIG DATA; MEASUREMENT ERROR; SAMPLE-SIZE; P-VALUES; MODELS; REPLICATION; STATISTICS; UNCERTAINTIES; PUBLICATION; PREDICTION;
D O I
10.1098/rsos.201925
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
For a given research question, there are usually a large variety of possible analysis strategies acceptable according to the scientific standards of the field, and there are concerns that this multiplicity of analysis strategies plays an important role in the non-replicability of research findings. Here, we define a general framework on common sources of uncertainty arising in computational analyses that lead to this multiplicity, and apply this framework within an overview of approaches proposed across disciplines to address the issue. Armed with this framework, and a set of recommendations derived therefrom, researchers will be able to recognize strategies applicable to their field and use them to generate findings more likely to be replicated in future studies, ultimately improving the credibility of the scientific process.
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页数:13
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