Long-range power-law correlations in local daily temperature fluctuations

被引:59
|
作者
Koscielny-Bunde, E [1 ]
Roman, HE
Bunde, A
Havlin, S
Schellnhuber, HJ
机构
[1] Univ Giessen, Inst Theoret Phys 3, D-35392 Giessen, Germany
[2] Bar Ilan Univ, Minerva Ctr Study Mesoscop Fractals & Neural Netw, IL-52900 Ramat Gan, Israel
[3] Bar Ilan Univ, Dept Phys, IL-52900 Ramat Gan, Israel
[4] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
来源
PHILOSOPHICAL MAGAZINE B-PHYSICS OF CONDENSED MATTER STATISTICAL MECHANICS ELECTRONIC OPTICAL AND MAGNETIC PROPERTIES | 1998年 / 77卷 / 05期
关键词
D O I
10.1080/13642819808205026
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
We have studied long-time daily temperature records (between 56 and 218 years) obtained from 12 meteorological stations in Europe and North America from various climatological zones. To analyse the fluctuations of the daily temperatures around their average values, we have calculated directly the autocorrelation function C(l) between two days separated by l days, and applied also random-walk fluctuation analysis and wavelets methods, which can systematically overcome non-stationarities in the data. In addition, we have also analysed the distribution of the daily temperature fluctuations, which in most cases is well approximated by a Gaussian. Our analysis suggests that the persistence, characterized by the autocorrelation function C(l), is long ranged and approximately decays with a power law C(l)similar or equal to l(-gamma), with roughly the same exponent gamma approximate to 2/3 for all stations considered. This universal persistence law seems to be valid at least for one decade of years, but we cannot exclude the possibility that the range of the power-law correlations even exceeds the range of the temperature series considered.
引用
收藏
页码:1331 / 1340
页数:10
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