Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions

被引:248
作者
Beniston, M [1 ]
Stephenson, DB
机构
[1] Univ Fribourg, Dept Geosci, CH-1700 Fribourg, Switzerland
[2] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 2AH, Berks, England
关键词
climate; climatic change; extreme events; statistical analyses;
D O I
10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.001
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
This short introductory paper illustrates some key issues concerning extremes by focusing on daily temperature extremes defined using quantiles and threshold exceedances. The examples include both a low- and a high-elevauion site in the Swiss Alps where long records of homogenous daily data are readily available. The analysis of extremes highlights several features, some of them taken from the 2003 heat wave that affected Europe, in particular significant changes in the trends of quantiles in the course of the 20th century, differences in the altitudinal behavior of maximum or minimum temperature, and close links between means and the extreme quantiles of daily temperatures. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 9
页数:9
相关论文
共 21 条
[1]  
ANTONIADOU A, 2001, REV STAT APPL, V49, P39
[2]   Regional behavior of minimum temperatures in Switzerland for the period 1979-1993 [J].
Beniston, M ;
Rebetez, M .
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 1996, 53 (04) :231-243
[3]   The 2003 heat wave as an example of summers in a greenhouse climate? Observations and climate model simulations for Basel, Switzerland [J].
Beniston, M ;
Diaz, HF .
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2004, 44 (1-4) :73-81
[4]   The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations [J].
Beniston, M .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2004, 31 (02) :L022021-4
[5]   Shifts in the distributions of pressure, temperature and moisture and changes in the typical weather patterns in the Alpine region in response to the behavior of the North Atlantic Oscillation [J].
Beniston, M ;
Jungo, P .
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2002, 71 (1-2) :29-42
[6]  
FERRO CAT, UNPUB J CLIM
[7]  
Frei C, 2001, J CLIMATE, V14, P1568, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<1568:DPOTIR>2.0.CO
[8]  
2
[9]  
Giorgi F, 1997, J CLIMATE, V10, P288, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0288:EDOTSC>2.0.CO
[10]  
2