El Nino/Southern Oscillation;
Sea surface temperature bias;
North Pacific teleconnections;
Rainfall over California;
Perturbed physics ensemble;
CMIP5;
NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION;
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE;
UNITED-STATES CLIMATE;
EL-NINO;
ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION;
AMERICAN TELECONNECTION;
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES;
WINTER;
VARIABILITY;
PREDICTABILITY;
D O I:
10.1007/s00382-019-04746-9
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
Precipitation in California is modulated by variability in the tropical Pacific associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO): more rainfall is expected during El Nino episodes, and reduced rainfall during La Nina. It has been suggested that besides the shape and location of the sea surface temperature ( SST) anomaly this remote connection depends on the strength and location of the atmospheric convection response in the tropical Pacific. Here we show in a perturbed physics ensemble of the Kiel Climate Model and CMIP5 models that due to a cold equatorial SST bias many climate models are in a La Nina-like mean state, resulting in a too westward position of the rising branch of the Pacific Walker Circulation. This in turn results in a convective response along the equator during ENSO events that is too far west in comparison to observations. This effect of the equatorial cold SST bias is not restricted to the tropics, moreover it leads to a too westward SLP response in the North Pacific and too westward precipitation response that does not reach California. Further we show that climate models with a reduced equatorial cold SST bias have a more realistic representation of the spatial asymmetry of the teleconnections between El Nino and La Nina.
机构:
ODU, Ctr Coastal Phys Oceanog, Norfolk, VA USA
LEGOS CNRS, Toulouse, France
Middle E Tech Univ, Inst Marine Sci, Erdemli, TurkeyODU, Ctr Coastal Phys Oceanog, Norfolk, VA USA
机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Amaya, Dillon J.
Kosaka, Yu
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Tokyo, Res Ctr Adv Sci & Technol, Tokyo, JapanUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Kosaka, Yu
Zhou, Wenyu
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机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Zhou, Wenyu
Zhang, Yu
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机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Ocean Univ China, Qingdao Collaborat Innovat Ctr Marine Sci & Techn, Phys Oceanog Lab, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China
Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R ChinaUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Zhang, Yu
Xie, Shang-Ping
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Xie, Shang-Ping
Miller, Arthur J.
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机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
机构:
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Oceanog, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAUniv Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
Richards, K. J.
Kashino, Y.
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机构:
Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Global Change, Yokosuka, Kanagawa 2370061, JapanUniv Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
Kashino, Y.
Natarov, A.
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机构:
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAUniv Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
Natarov, A.
Firing, E.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Oceanog, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAUniv Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
机构:
Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, EnglandUniv Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
Beverley, Jonathan D.
Collins, Matthew
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机构:
Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, EnglandUniv Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
Collins, Matthew
Lambert, F. Hugo
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机构:
Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, EnglandUniv Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
Lambert, F. Hugo
Chadwick, Robin
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Exeter, Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
Univ Exeter, Global Syst Inst, Exeter, Devon, EnglandUniv Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England