Forecasting of Turkey's net electricity energy consumption on sectoral bases

被引:149
作者
Hamzacebi, Coskun [1 ]
机构
[1] Z Karaelmas Univ, Dept Informat, Zonguldak, Turkey
关键词
electricity energy forecasting; artificial neural network; Turkey's electricity consumption;
D O I
10.1016/j.enpol.2006.03.014
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this study forecast of Turkey's net electricity energy consumption on sectoral basis until 2020 is explored. Artificial neural networks (ANN) is preferred as forecasting tool. The reasons behind choosing ANN are the ability of ANN to forecast future values of more than one variable at the same time and to model the nonlinear relation in the data structure. Founded forecast results by ANN are compared with official forecasts. (c) 2006 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:2009 / 2016
页数:8
相关论文
共 30 条
  • [1] Artificial neural networks as applied to long-term demand forecasting
    Al-Saba, T
    El-Amin, I
    [J]. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN ENGINEERING, 1999, 13 (02): : 189 - 197
  • [2] ATLAS M, 2003, ENERJI ISTATISTIKLER
  • [3] MEDIUM RANGE FORECASTING OF HOURLY POWER-SYSTEM LOAD BY TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS USING THE WALSH TRANSFORM
    BASU, TK
    BHATTACHARYA, TK
    PURKAYASTHA, P
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS, 1991, 13 (04) : 193 - 200
  • [4] BHATTACHARYA TK, 1993, ELECT POWER ENERGY S, V15, P109
  • [5] Energy demand estimation based on two-different genetic algorithm approaches
    Canyurt, OE
    Ceylan, H
    Ozturk, HK
    Hepbasli, A
    [J]. ENERGY SOURCES, 2004, 26 (14): : 1313 - 1320
  • [6] Estimating energy demand of Turkey based on economic indicators using genetic algorithm approach
    Ceylan, H
    Ozturk, HK
    [J]. ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2004, 45 (15-16) : 2525 - 2537
  • [7] Cybenko G., 1989, Mathematics of Control, Signals, and Systems, V2, P303, DOI 10.1007/BF02551274
  • [8] *DPT, 2001, DPT2610OIK621
  • [9] Forecasting the primary energy demand in Turkey and analysis of cyclic patterns
    Ediger, VS
    Tatlidil, H
    [J]. ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2002, 43 (04) : 473 - 487
  • [10] *ESMAP, 2000, 229 ESMAP ESM