Evidence for a Long-Term Strength Threshold in Crystalline Rock

The mechanical response of brittle rock to long-duration compression loading is of particular concern in underground disposal of nuclear waste, where radionuclides must be isolated from the biosphere for periods of the order of a million years. Does the strength decrease without limit over such time, or is there, for some rock types, a lower "threshold" strength below which the rock will cease to deform? This paper examines the possibility of such a threshold in silicate crystalline rocks from several perspectives, including: (1) interpretation of the results of short-term creep tests on rock; (2) numerical analysis of the effect of decrease in fracture toughness due to stress corrosion on the strength of a crystalline rock; and (3) evidence from plate tectonics, and observations of in situ rock stress in granite quarries. The study concludes that there is clear evidence of threshold strength. The threshold is of the order of 40% of the unconfined compressive strength or higher for laboratory specimens under unconfined compressive loading, and increases rapidly in absolute value with confinement. Field evidence also leads to the conclusion that the long-term strength of crystalline rock in situ is of comparable magnitude to the laboratory value.