Reassessing Taylor rules using improved housing rent data

被引:8
作者
Ambrose, Brent W. [1 ,2 ]
Coulson, N. Edward [3 ]
Yoshida, Jiro [2 ]
机构
[1] Penn State Univ, Inst Real Estate Studies, Smeal Coll Business, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
[2] Penn State Univ, Dept Risk Management, Smeal Coll Business, 368 Business Bldg, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
[3] Univ Calif Irvine, Merage Sch Business, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
关键词
Monetary policy; Federal funds rate; Taylor rule; Personal consumption expenditures; Inflation measures; Housing rent; MONETARY-POLICY ANALYSIS; MARKET; RATES; SECURITIZATION; CRISIS; INDEX;
D O I
10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.03.001
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
There is a debate whether the federal funds rate deviated from the Taylor rule. We present evidence that standard inflation measures do not reflect the contemporaneous state of housing rents, which are a large part of price indexes. Using a new housing rent index (RRI) developed by Ambrose et al. (2015), we compute the RRI-based Taylor rule for the period from 2000 to 2010. The modified Taylor rule indicates that seemingly large deviations are better understood as delays due to the stale information regarding housing rents. It also provides a justification for Quantitative Easing and a better alternative to other versions of Taylor rules.
引用
收藏
页码:243 / 257
页数:15
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