Seismic hazard for the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP). Part 1: probabilistic seismic hazard analysis along the pipeline

被引:7
作者
Slejko, D. [1 ]
Rebez, A. [1 ]
Santulin, M. [1 ]
Garcia-Pelaez, J. [1 ,6 ]
Sandron, D. [1 ]
Tamaro, A. [1 ]
Civile, D. [1 ]
Volpi, V. [1 ]
Caputo, R. [2 ]
Ceramicola, S. [1 ]
Chatzipetros, A. [3 ]
Daja, S. [4 ]
Fabris, P. [1 ]
Geletti, R. [1 ]
Karvelis, P. [5 ]
Moratto, L. [1 ]
Papazachos, C. [3 ]
Pavlides, S. [3 ]
Rapti, D. [2 ]
Rossi, G. [1 ]
Sarao, A. [1 ]
Sboras, S. [3 ]
Vuan, A. [1 ]
Zecchin, M. [1 ]
Zgur, F. [1 ]
Zuliani, D. [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Inst Oceanog & Appl Geophys OGS, Trieste, Italy
[2] Univ Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
[3] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
[4] Polytech Univ Tirana, Fac Geol & Min, Tirana, Albania
[5] Korros E, Athens, Greece
[6] GEM Fdn, Pavia, Italy
关键词
Trans-Adriatic Pipeline; PSHA; Ground motion; Deaggregation; GROUND-MOTION; MEDITERRANEAN REGION; SHALLOW EARTHQUAKES; TECTONIC EVOLUTION; MANTLE DYNAMICS; PREDICTION; MAGNITUDE; RECURRENCE; GREECE; SOUTH;
D O I
10.1007/s10518-021-01111-2
中图分类号
P5 [地质学];
学科分类号
0709 ; 081803 ;
摘要
The design of critical facilities needs a targeted computation of the expected ground motion levels. The Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) is the pipeline that transports natural gas from the Greek-Turkish border, through Greece and Albania, to Italy. We present here the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) that we performed for this facility, and the deaggregation of the results, aiming to identify the dominant seismic sources for a selected site along the Albanian coast, where one of the two main compressor stations is located. PSHA is based on an articulated logic tree of twenty branches, consisting of two models for source, seismicity, estimation of the maximum magnitude, and ground motion. The area with the highest hazard occurs along the Adriatic coast of Albania (PGA between 0.8 and 0.9 g on rock for a return period of 2475 years), while strong ground motions are also expected to the north of Thessaloniki, Kavala, in the southern Alexandroupolis area, as well as at the border between Greece and Turkey. The earthquakes contributing most to the hazard of the test site at high and low frequencies (1 and 5 Hz) and the corresponding design events for the TAP infrastructure have been identified as local quakes with M-W 6.6 and 6.0, respectively.
引用
收藏
页码:3349 / 3388
页数:40
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