Predicting the debt-equity decision

被引:1
|
作者
Smith, Geoffrey Peter [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Tempe, AZ USA
[2] Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Dept Finance, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
关键词
Debt-equity decision; Machine learning for classification; Capital structure; CAPITAL STRUCTURE; DETERMINANTS; CORPORATE; ISSUES;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2022.102859
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
I train the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) and random forests (RF) machine learning models to predict if a firm will issue debt, or equity, in the upcoming quarter. KNN predicts 94% of debt and 80% of equity issues correctly. RF predicts 95% of debt and 86% of equity issues correctly. KNN is 92% correct when predicting debt and 84% correct when predicting equity. RF is 94% correct when predicting debt and 88% correct when predicting equity. The overall prediction accuracy is 90% for KNN and 92% for RF. I conclude that machine learning models can "learn"to predict the debt-equity decision.
引用
收藏
页数:7
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