机构:
Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Tempe, AZ USA
Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Dept Finance, Tempe, AZ 85287 USAArizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Tempe, AZ USA
Smith, Geoffrey Peter
[1
,2
]
机构:
[1] Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Tempe, AZ USA
[2] Arizona State Univ, WP Carey Sch Business, Dept Finance, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
Debt-equity decision;
Machine learning for classification;
Capital structure;
CAPITAL STRUCTURE;
DETERMINANTS;
CORPORATE;
ISSUES;
D O I:
10.1016/j.frl.2022.102859
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
I train the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) and random forests (RF) machine learning models to predict if a firm will issue debt, or equity, in the upcoming quarter. KNN predicts 94% of debt and 80% of equity issues correctly. RF predicts 95% of debt and 86% of equity issues correctly. KNN is 92% correct when predicting debt and 84% correct when predicting equity. RF is 94% correct when predicting debt and 88% correct when predicting equity. The overall prediction accuracy is 90% for KNN and 92% for RF. I conclude that machine learning models can "learn"to predict the debt-equity decision.
机构:
Florida Int Univ, Coll Business Adm, Dept Finance, Miami, FL 33199 USAFlorida Int Univ, Coll Business Adm, Dept Finance, Miami, FL 33199 USA
Mishra, Suchismita
Talukdar, Bakhtear
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Wisconsin Whitewater, Coll Business & Econ, Dept Finance & Business Law, Whitewater, WI USAFlorida Int Univ, Coll Business Adm, Dept Finance, Miami, FL 33199 USA
Talukdar, Bakhtear
Upadhyay, Arun
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Florida Int Univ, Coll Business Adm, Dept Finance, Miami, FL 33199 USAFlorida Int Univ, Coll Business Adm, Dept Finance, Miami, FL 33199 USA
机构:
Purdue Univ, Sch Hospitality & Tourism Management, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USAPurdue Univ, Sch Hospitality & Tourism Management, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
Mun, Sung Gyun
Jang, SooCheong
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Purdue Univ, Sch Hospitality & Tourism Management, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USAPurdue Univ, Sch Hospitality & Tourism Management, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
机构:
Univ Texas El Paso, Dept Econ & Finance, El Paso, TX 79968 USAN Carolina State Univ, Dept Business Management, Coll Management, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA
Elliott, William B.
Koeter-Kant, Johanna
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Amsterdam, NetherlandsN Carolina State Univ, Dept Business Management, Coll Management, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA
Koeter-Kant, Johanna
Warr, Richard S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
N Carolina State Univ, Dept Business Management, Coll Management, Raleigh, NC 27695 USAN Carolina State Univ, Dept Business Management, Coll Management, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA