Balance in competition in Dutch soccer

被引：108

作者：

Koning, RH ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Groningen, Dept Econometr, NL-9700 AV Groningen, Netherlands

来源：

JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES D-THE STATISTICIAN | 2000年 / 49卷

关键词：

balance in competition; home advantage; ordered probit model; professional soccer;

D O I：

10.1111/1467-9884.00244

中图分类号：

O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];

学科分类号：

020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;

摘要：

We estimate an ordered probit model for soccer results in the Netherlands. The result of a game is assumed to be determined by home ground advantage and differences in quality between the opposing teams. The parameters of the model are used to assess whether the balance in competition in Dutch professional soccer has changed over time. Contrary to popular belief, we find that the balance has not changed much since the mid-1970s.

引用

页码：419 / 431

页数：13

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