SEMIMARTINGALE DETECTION AND GOODNESS-OF-FIT TESTS

被引:5
作者
Bull, Adam D. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Stat Lab, Wilberforce Rd, Cambridge CB3 0WB, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
Diffusion; goodness-of-fit; jump process; semimartingale; wavelets; TIME FINANCIAL MODELS; INTEGRATED VOLATILITY; DIFFUSION-COEFFICIENT; MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE; PARAMETRIC FORM; JUMPS;
D O I
10.1214/16-AOS1484
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In quantitative finance, we often fit a parametric semimartingale model to asset prices. To ensure our model is correct, we must then perform goodnessof- fit tests. In this paper, we give a new goodness-of-fit test for volatilitylike processes, which is easily applied to a variety of semimartingale models. In each case, we reduce the problem to the detection of a semimartingale observed under noise. In this setting, we then describe a wavelet-thresholding test, which obtains adaptive and near-optimal detection rates.
引用
收藏
页码:1254 / 1283
页数:30
相关论文
共 34 条
[1]   Testing continuous-time models of the spot interest rate [J].
Ait-Sahalia, Y .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1996, 9 (02) :385-426
[2]   Stationarity-based specification tests for diffusions when the process is nonstationary [J].
Ait-Sahalia, Yacine ;
Park, Joon Y. .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2012, 169 (02) :279-292
[3]   The distribution of realized stock return volatility [J].
Andersen, TG ;
Bollerslev, T ;
Diebold, FX ;
Ebens, H .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2001, 61 (01) :43-76
[4]  
[Anonymous], PREPRINT
[5]   Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models [J].
Barndorff-Nielsen, OE ;
Shephard, N .
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY, 2002, 64 :253-280
[6]   Asymptotically distribution-free tests for the volatility function of a diffusion [J].
Chen, Qiang ;
Zheng, Xu ;
Pan, Zhiyuan .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2015, 184 (01) :124-144
[7]  
Cont R., 2004, Chapman & Hall/CRC Financial Mathematics Series
[8]  
Corradi V., 1999, J TIME SER ANAL, V20, P253
[9]   Estimation of integrated volatility in continuous-time financial models with applications to goodness-of-fit testing [J].
Dette, H ;
Podolskij, M ;
Vetter, M .
SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS, 2006, 33 (02) :259-278
[10]   On a test for a parametric form of volatility in continuous time financial models [J].
Dette, H ;
von Lieres Wilkau, C .
FINANCE AND STOCHASTICS, 2003, 7 (03) :363-384