Earnings, retained earnings, and book-to -market in the cross section of expected returns

被引:44
作者
Ball, Ray [1 ]
Gerakos, Joseph [2 ]
Linnainmaa, Juhani T. [3 ,4 ]
Nikolaev, Valeri [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Chicago, Booth Sch Business, 5807 South Woodlawn Ave, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[2] Dartmouth Coll, Tuck Sch Business, 100 Tuck Hall, Hanover, NH 03775 USA
[3] Univ Southern Calif, Marshall Sch Business, 3670 Trousdale Pkwy, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[4] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
Book-to-market; Contributed capital; Earnings yield; Mispricing Retained earnings; Value premium; AVERAGE RETURNS; DELISTING BIAS; STOCK-PRICES; CASH FLOWS; ANOMALIES; SIZE; INFORMATION; RATIO; RISK;
D O I
10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.05.013
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Book value of equity consists of two economically different components: retained earnings and contributed capital. We predict that book-to-market strategies work because the retained earnings component of the book value of equity includes the accumulation and, hence, the averaging of past earnings. Retained earnings-to-market predicts the cross section of average returns in U.S. and international data and subsumes book-to-market. Contributed capital-to-market has no predictive power. We show that retained earnings-to-market, and, by extension, book-to-market, predicts returns because it is a good proxy for underlying earnings yield (Ball, 1978; Berk, 1995) and not because book value represents intrinsic value. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:231 / 254
页数:24
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