Sea Ice Targeted Geoengineering Can Delay Arctic Sea Ice Decline but not Global Warming

被引:13
|
作者
Zampieri, Lorenzo [1 ]
Goessling, Helge F. [1 ]
机构
[1] Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Bremerhaven, Germany
关键词
sea ice; geoengineering; Arctic sea ice decline; global warming; ice-albedo feedback; sea ice modeling; MODEL; CLIMATE; OCEAN; SENSITIVITY; TEMPERATURE; CIRCULATION; RESOLUTION;
D O I
10.1029/2019EF001230
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
To counteract global warming, a geoengineering approach that aims at intervening in the Arctic ice-albedo feedback has been proposed. A large number of wind-driven pumps shall spread seawater on the surface in winter to enhance ice growth, allowing more ice to survive the summer melt. We test this idea with a coupled climate model by modifying the surface exchange processes such that the physical effect of the pumps is simulated. Based on experiments with RCP 8.5 scenario forcing, we find that it is possible to keep the late-summer sea ice cover at the current extent for the next similar to 60 years. The increased ice extent is accompanied by significant Arctic late-summer cooling by similar to 1.3 K on average north of the polar circle (2021-2060). However, this cooling is not conveyed to lower latitudes. Moreover, the Arctic experiences substantial winter warming in regions with active pumps. The global annual-mean near-surface air temperature is reduced by only 0.02 K (2021-2060). Our results cast doubt on the potential of sea ice targeted geoengineering to mitigate climate change.
引用
收藏
页码:1296 / 1306
页数:11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Geoengineering by cloud seeding: influence on sea ice and climate system
    Rasch, Philip J.
    Latham, John
    Chen, Chih-Chieh
    ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2009, 4 (04):
  • [42] Circumpolar Arctic Tundra Vegetation Change Is Linked to Sea Ice Decline
    Bhatt, Uma S.
    Walker, Donald A.
    Raynolds, Martha K.
    Comiso, Josefino C.
    Epstein, Howard E.
    Jia, Gensuo
    Gens, Rudiger
    Pinzon, Jorge E.
    Tucker, Compton J.
    Tweedie, Craig E.
    Webber, Patrick J.
    EARTH INTERACTIONS, 2010, 14 : 1 - 20
  • [43] Winter arctic sea ice volume decline: uncertainties reduced using passive microwave-based sea ice thickness
    Soriot, Clement
    Vancoppenolle, Martin
    Prigent, Catherine
    Jimenez, Carlos
    Frappart, Frederic
    SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2024, 14 (01):
  • [44] Effect of retreating sea ice on Arctic cloud cover in simulated recent global warming
    Abe, Manabu
    Nozawa, Toru
    Ogura, Tomoo
    Takata, Kumiko
    ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2016, 16 (22) : 14343 - 14356
  • [45] Sea-ice free Arctic contributes to the projected warming minimum in the North Atlantic
    Suo, Lingling
    Gao, Yongqi
    Guo, Dong
    Bethke, Ingo
    ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (07):
  • [46] Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming
    Poltronieri, Anna
    Bochow, Nils
    Boers, Niklas
    Rypdal, Martin
    ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH-CLIMATE, 2024, 3 (03):
  • [47] Atmospheric impacts of sea ice decline in CO2 induced global warming
    Ivana Cvijanovic
    Ken Caldeira
    Climate Dynamics, 2015, 44 : 1173 - 1186
  • [48] Arctic autumn sea ice decline and Asian winter temperature anomaly
    Liu Na
    Lin Lina
    Wang Yingjie
    Kong Bin
    Zhang Zhanhai
    Chen Hongxia
    ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA, 2016, 35 (07) : 36 - 41
  • [49] Influence of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropics on the Antarctic Sea Ice during Global Warming
    Alekseev, Genrikh
    Vyazilova, Anastasiia
    Smirnov, Alexander
    JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2022, 10 (12)
  • [50] Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice
    Massonnet, F.
    Fichefet, T.
    Goosse, H.
    Bitz, C. M.
    Philippon-Berthier, G.
    Holland, M. M.
    Barriat, P. -Y.
    CRYOSPHERE, 2012, 6 (06) : 1383 - 1394