On timetable assumptions in railway investment appraisal

被引：11

作者：

Eliasson, Jonas ^{[1
]}

Borjesson, Maria ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] KTH Royal Inst Technol, Ctr Transport Studies, S-10044 Stockholm, Sweden

来源：

TRANSPORT POLICY | 2014年 / 36卷

关键词：

Cost-benefit analysis; Appraisal; Railway investments; Timetables; BRITISH-EXPERIENCE; PROJECTS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.tranpol.2014.08.008

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The benefits captured in an appraisal of a railway investment are determined by what timetables the analyst assumes in the scenarios with and without the investment Without an explicit, objective and verifiable principle for which timetables to assume, the appraisal outcome is virtually arbitrary. This means that appraisals of railway investments cannot be compared to each other, and opens the door for strategic behaviour by stakeholders conducting seemingly objective cost-benefit analysis. We explain and illustrate the nature and extent of the problem, discuss possible timetable construction principles, and show that current practice is likely to exaggerate appraisal benefits. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：118 / 126

页数：9

共 14 条

[1] High-speed rail and air transport competition: Game engineering as tool for cost-benefit analysis
Adler, Nicole
Pels, Eric
Nash, Chris
[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART B-METHODOLOGICAL, 2010, 44 (07) : 812 - 833
[2] Railway timetabling using Lagrangian relaxation
Brannlund, U
Lindberg, PO
Nou, A
Nilsson, JE
[J]. TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE, 1998, 32 (04) : 358 - 369
[3] Investment planning and appraisal issues in the privatized railway - the British experience
Bristow, AL
Preston, JM
Nash, CA
[J]. TRANSPORT REVIEWS, 1998, 18 (04) : 353 - 362
[4] Caprara A, 2007, HBK OPERAT RES MANAG, V14, P129, DOI 10.1016/S0927-0507(06)14003-7
[5] A practical approach to identifying the market potential for high speed rail: A case study in the Sydney-Canberra corridor
Hensher, DA
[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE, 1997, 31 (06) : 431 - 446
[6] TRESIS: A transportation, land use and environmental strategy impact simulator for urban areas
Hensher, DA
Ton, T
[J]. TRANSPORTATION, 2002, 29 (04) : 439 - 457
[7] Mackie Peter., 1998, Transport Policy, V5, P1, DOI [10.1016/S0967-070X, DOI 10.1016/S0967-070X(98)00004-3, 10.1016/s0967-070x(98)00004-3]
[8] APPRAISAL OF RAIL INVESTMENT PROJECTS - RECENT BRITISH-EXPERIENCE
NASH, C
PRESTON, J
[J]. TRANSPORT REVIEWS, 1991, 11 (04) : 295 - 309
[9] Nash C., 1992, PROJECT APPRAISAL, V7, P211, DOI 10.1080/02688867.1992.9726870
[10] Impact analysis of railway projects in a flexibility perspective
Olsson, Nils O. E.
[J]. TRANSPORT REVIEWS, 2006, 26 (05) : 557 - 569

← 1 2 →