Operational oil spill trajectory modelling using HF radar currents: A northwest European continental shelf case study

被引:33
作者
Abascal, Ana J. [1 ]
Sanchez, Jorge [2 ]
Chiri, Helios [1 ]
Ferrer, Maria I. [2 ]
Cardenas, Mar [1 ]
Gallego, Alejandro [3 ]
Castanedo, Sonia [4 ]
Medina, Raul [1 ]
Alonso-Martirena, Andres [2 ]
Berx, Barbara [3 ]
Turrell, William R. [3 ]
Hughes, Sarah L. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cantabria, Environm Hydraul Inst, Avda Isabel Torres 15, Santander 39011, Spain
[2] Qualitas Remos, Madrid, Spain
[3] Marine Scotland Sci, Marine Lab, Aberdeen, Scotland
[4] Univ Cantabria, ETSI Caminos Canales & Puertos, Dept Ciencias & Tecn Agua & Medio Ambiente, Avda Castros S-N, E-39005 Santander, Spain
关键词
HF radar; Operational forecasting; Oil spill modelling; Drifting buoys; SURFACE CURRENTS; SEA; ASSIMILATION; CIRCULATION; SYSTEM; BAY;
D O I
10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.04.010
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper presents a novel operational oil spill modelling system based on HF radar currents, implemented in a northwest European shelf sea. The system integrates Open Modal Analysis (OMA), Short Term Prediction algorithms (STPS) and an oil spill model to simulate oil spill trajectories. A set of 18 buoys was used to assess the accuracy of the system for trajectory forecast and to evaluate the benefits of HF radar data compared to the use of currents from a hydrodynamic model (HDM). The results showed that simulated trajectories using OMA currents were more accurate than those obtained using a HDM. After 481 the mean error was reduced by 40%. The forecast skill of the STPS method was valid up to 6 h ahead. The analysis performed shows the benefits of HF radar data for operational oil spill modelling, which could be easily implemented in other regions with HF radar coverage.
引用
收藏
页码:336 / 350
页数:15
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