Self-organized Speculation Game for the spontaneous emergence of financial stylized facts

被引:2
作者
Katahira, Kei [1 ,2 ]
Chen, Yu [3 ]
Akiyama, Eizo [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tsukuba, Fac Engn Informat & Syst, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058573, Japan
[2] Japan Soc Promot Sci, Tokyo, Japan
[3] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Frontier Sci, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba 2778563, Japan
关键词
Financial stylized facts; Self-organized criticality; Speculation game; BTW sandpile model; Quasi-critical state; CRITICALITY; MODEL; LAW;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2021.126227
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We sophisticate the Speculation Game to relax the need for rigorous tuning of a part of parameters for the emergence of characteristic statistics of price returns. Named as Self-organized Speculation Game (SOSG), thanks to the concept of the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld (BTW) sandpile model, the model can spontaneously adjust the number of market participants during the process of reaching the quasi-critical state. While the original Speculation Game's high reproducibility of financial stylized facts is maintained, the behavioral characteristics of this modified model, such as the dynamics of system size and the observations of power-law phenomena, strongly resemble those of the BTW model. The market size is evolutionally settled with fluctuations within a certain range, similar to the total sand grains behave in the sandpile model. SOSG infers the possibility that, in the real financial markets, it could be the self-organized quasi-criticality which works behind the spontaneous emergence of universal financial stylized facts. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:10
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