Posterior analysis of mergers and acquisitions in the international financial market: A re-appraisal

被引:6
作者
Rao, Ullas [1 ]
Mishra, Tapas [2 ]
机构
[1] Heriot Watt Univ, Dubai, U Arab Emirates
[2] Southampton Univ, Southampton, Hants, England
关键词
Modified event study; Mergers and acquisition; Posterior analysis; Long-memory GARCH; Markov transition; International financial markets; GAINS; FIRMS; PERFORMANCE; RETURNS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.101062
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Do mergers and acquisitions (M&A) improve the wealth status of investors, and if so, amidst persistence of volatility shocks? This paper tests these propositions by employing in the first step, a modified event study approach, and estimating a long-memory conditional volatility model, in the second step. The financial and policy implications of M&A are varied and contestable, yet, from an investor's perspective, the long-term adjusted gain from M&A depends not only on the immediate growth of wealth, but also the fact that such a growth would accompany reduced rate of volatility persistence. Although in the beginning, a high persistence of volatility cannot be ruled out, its presence in the longer-run implies that the wealth gains from M&A are unstable, leading perhaps to a further collapse of both the merged/merger and acquired/acquiring firms. We estimate a long-memory Generalized Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model with a Markovian transition for a number of international firms, specifically in Asia, to show in the first place, whether volatility shocks display differential memory in the pre- and post-M&A periods and whether the asymmetric high persistence is in the aftermath of M&A. Our results point at a significant 'non-zero' and positive gain for investors following M&A, but this is combined with greater volatility persistence.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 26 条
  • [1] THE POST-MERGER PERFORMANCE OF ACQUIRING FIRMS - A REEXAMINATION OF AN ANOMALY
    AGRAWAL, A
    JAFFE, JF
    MANDELKER, GN
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1992, 47 (04) : 1605 - 1621
  • [2] André P, 2004, FINANC MANAGE, V33, P27
  • [3] [Anonymous], REV EC STAT
  • [4] [Anonymous], J EC FINANCE
  • [5] [Anonymous], HDB CORPORATE FINANC
  • [6] [Anonymous], J BUS FINANCE ACCOUN
  • [7] [Anonymous], EFFECTS CROSS BORDER
  • [8] [Anonymous], WORKING PAPER SERIES
  • [9] [Anonymous], AUST J MANAG
  • [10] Bidder gains and losses of firms involved in many acquisitions
    Antoniou, Antonios
    Petmezas, Dimitris
    Zhao, Huainan
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS FINANCE & ACCOUNTING, 2007, 34 (7-8) : 1221 - 1244