Assessing the impact of transmissibility on a cluster-based COVID-19 model in India

被引:2
作者
Tanvi [1 ]
Sajid, Mohammad [2 ]
Aggarwal, Rajiv [3 ]
Rajput, Ashutosh [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Delhi, Shaheed Rajguru Coll Appl Sci Women, Dept Math, New Delhi 110096, India
[2] Qassim Univ, Coll Engn, Dept Mech Engn, Buraydah, Saudi Arabia
[3] Univ Delhi, Deshbandhu Coll, Dept Math, New Delhi 110019, India
[4] Univ Delhi, Fac Math Sci, Dept Math, New Delhi 110007, India
关键词
Mathematical modeling; COVID-19; basic reproduction number; stabilaity; sensitivity index; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1142/S1793962321410026
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
In this paper, we have proposed a nonlinear mathematical model of different classes of individuals for coronavirus (COVID-19). The model incorporates the effect of transmission and treatment on the occurrence of new infections. For the model, the basic reproduction number (Script capital R-0) has been computed. Corresponding to the threshold quantity (Script capital R-0), the stability of endemic and disease-free equilibrium (DFE) points are determined. For Script capital R-0 > 1, if the endemic equilibrium point exists, then it is locally asymptotically stable, whereas the DFE point is globally asymptotically stable for Script capital R-0 < 1 which implies the eradication of the disease. The effects of various parameters on the spread of COVID-19 are discussed in the segment of sensitivity analysis. The model is numerically simulated to understand the effect of reproduction number on the transmission dynamics of the disease COVID-19. From the numerical simulations, it is concluded that if the reproduction number for the coronavirus disease is reduced below unity by decreasing the transmission rate and detecting more number of infectives, then the epidemic can be eradicated from the population.
引用
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页数:23
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