Modelling seasonality in residential water demand: the case of Tunisia

被引:12
作者
Ben Zaied, Younes [1 ]
Binet, Marie Estelle [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Rennes 1, Fac Econ, CNRS, CREM,UMR6211, F-35065 Rennes, France
关键词
residential water demand; seasonal integration; seasonal cointegration; increasing block tariffs; ERROR-CORRECTION; PERIODIC COINTEGRATION; TARIFFS; REPRESENTATION; INFERENCE; BLOCK;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2014.1002896
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This article proposes to model seasonal patterns of residential water demand using the techniques of seasonal integration and cointegration. The methodology is applied to quarterly aggregate time series data for Tunisia (1980-2007), applying the same increasing, multi-step pricing scheme in the whole country. First, a seasonal cointegration analysis demonstrates the relevance of a pricing policy that increases the size of the lower consumption block in summer. Second, the nonseasonal cointegration analysis reveals a relatively high price elasticity for the highest consumption block. Therefore, we also propose to increase the tariff progressivity to promote water savings. This modified pricing scheme will help to achieve goals of environmental protection and social equity.
引用
收藏
页码:1983 / 1996
页数:14
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