Association between intra-operative meatal mismatch and urethrocutaneous fistula development in hypospadias repair

Introduction The Glans-Meatus-Shaft (GMS) Score is a pre-operative phenotypic scoring system used to assess hypospadias severity and risk for post-operative complications. The 'M' component is based on pre-operative meatal location, but meatal location sometimes changes after penile degloving, resulting in 'meatal mismatch.' Objective To identify: 1) the incidence and clinical predictors of meatal mismatch, and 2) the association of meatal mismatch with post-operative urethrocuta-neous fistula development. Study design We performed a retrospective cohort study on pa-tients who underwent primary hypospadias repair at a single center from 2011 to 2018. Meatal mismatch was defined as: upstaging (meatus moving more proximally after degloving), downstaging (moving more distally after degloving), or none. Covariates included: pre-degloving meatal location, chordee severity, penoscrotal anatomy, pre-operative testosterone, and number of stages for repair. To test the association between meatal mismatch and fistula development, we constructed two, nested, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models with and without meatal mismatch and compared them with the likelihood ratio test. A sensitivity analysis excluded patients with <6 months of follow-up. Results Of 485 patients, 99 (20%) exhibited meatal mismatch, including 75 (15%) with upstaging and 24 (5%) patients with downstaging (Figure). Meatal mismatch was significantly associated with peno-scrotal webbing, number of stages for repair, and pre-degloving meatal location, with downstaging being associated with more proximal meatal loca-tion. Over a median follow-up of 7.3 months (inter-quartile range 2.0-20.9), fistulae developed in 56 (12%) patients. On multivariable analysis, meatal upstaging was associated with a 3-fold increased risk of fistula development (Hazards Ratio [HR]: 3.04, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.44-6.45) compared to no mismatch. Meatal downstaging had similar risk of fistula development compared to no mismatch (HR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.29-3.35). Multi-stage compared to single-stage repair was associated with reduced risk of fistula development (HR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.09-0.66). The likelihood ratio test favored the model that included meatal mismatch. The sensi-tivity analysis showed similar findings. Discussion Our short-term results suggest that meatal mismatch may be an important additional consideration to the GMS score as a tool to assess hypospadias severity, counsel families, and predict outcomes. Longer-term studies are needed to enhance the precision of risk stratification in hypospadias. Conclusions Meatal mismatch occurred in 20% of patients un-dergoing hypospadias repair. Among this cohort, meatal upstaging was associated with a 3-fold increased risk of post-operative urethrocutaneous fistula development. [GRAPHICS] .