Crude oil prices and sectoral stock returns in Jordan around the Arab uprisings of 2010

被引:67
作者
Bouri, Elie [1 ]
Awartani, Basel [2 ]
Maghyereh, Aktham [3 ]
机构
[1] Holy Spirit Univ Kaslik, USEK Business Sch, POB 446, Jounieh, Lebanon
[2] Univ Plymouth, Plymouth Business Sch, Plymouth PL4 8AA, Devon, England
[3] United Arab Emirates Univ, Dept Econ & Finance, Al Ain, U Arab Emirates
关键词
Causality; Mean; Variance; Oil prices; Stock market sector; Political risk; Jordan; Arab uprisings; VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS; TIME-SERIES; CAUSALITY; MARKETS; VARIANCE; SHOCKS; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.eneco.2016.03.021
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, we test for mean and variance causality between world oil prices and sectoral equity returns in Jordan before and after the Arab Uprisings that started in 2010. The testing methodology is based on the sample of cross-correlation functions that are computed from the standardized residuals of a GARCH process. Our results show that the influence is not uniform across the equity sectors. The oil return shocks significantly impact the Financials and the Services sectors, while its effect is insignificant on the Industrials sector. This result is more pronounced in the period that follows the Arab Uprisings. In terms of risk transfer, we find that oil is a negligible risk factor. However, there is still a significant evidence of risk transmission to the Industrials sector particularly during the Arab Uprisings period. These results represent a unique information transmission mechanism that is useful for risk management and portfolio diversification. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:205 / 214
页数:10
相关论文
共 52 条
[31]   Return and volatility interaction between oil prices and stock markets in Saudi Arabia [J].
Jouini, Jamel .
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING, 2013, 35 (06) :1124-1144
[32]   The impact of oil price shocks on the stock market return and volatility relationship [J].
Kang, Wensheng ;
Ratti, Ronald A. ;
Yoon, Kyung Hwan .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS & MONEY, 2015, 34 :41-54
[33]   TESTING THE NULL HYPOTHESIS OF STATIONARITY AGAINST THE ALTERNATIVE OF A UNIT-ROOT - HOW SURE ARE WE THAT ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES HAVE A UNIT-ROOT [J].
KWIATKOWSKI, D ;
PHILLIPS, PCB ;
SCHMIDT, P ;
SHIN, YC .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1992, 54 (1-3) :159-178
[34]   Asymptotic theory for a vector ARMA-GARCH model [J].
Ling, SQ ;
McAleer, M .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 2003, 19 (02) :280-310
[35]  
Luft G., 2006, The oil crisis and its impact on the air cargo industry
[36]   Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of the oil-dependent economies: Evidence from the West Texas intermediate crude oil and the GCC stock markets [J].
Ma, Feng ;
Zhang, Qian ;
Chen, Peng ;
Wei, Yu .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2014, 410 :154-166
[37]  
Malik F., 2009, INT REV FINANC ANAL, V18, P95, DOI DOI 10.1016/J.IRFA.2009.03.003
[38]   STRUCTURE AND ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR MULTIVARIATE ASYMMETRIC CONDITIONAL VOLATILITY [J].
McAleer, Michael ;
Hoti, Suhejla ;
Chan, Felix .
ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS, 2009, 28 (05) :422-440
[39]   Correlations and volatility spillovers across commodity and stock markets: Linking energies, food, and gold [J].
Mensi, Walid ;
Beljid, Makram ;
Boubaker, Adel ;
Managi, Shunsuke .
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2013, 32 :15-22
[40]   Oil Shocks and Equity Returns: An Empirical Analysis of the US Transportation Sector [J].
Mohanty, Sunil K. ;
Nandha, Mohan .
REVIEW OF PACIFIC BASIN FINANCIAL MARKETS AND POLICIES, 2011, 14 (01) :101-128