Analysis of annual and seasonal temperature trends using the Mann-Kendall test in Vojvodina, Serbia

被引:0
|
作者
Gavrilov, Milivoj B. [1 ]
Tosic, Ivana [2 ]
Markovic, Slobodan B. [1 ]
Unkasevic, Miroslava [2 ]
Petrovic, Predrag [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Novi Sad, Fac Sci, Chair Phys Geog, Trg Dositeja Obradov 3, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
[2] Univ Belgrade, Inst Meteorol, Fac Phys, Dobracina 16, Belgrade 11000, Serbia
[3] Republ Hydrometeorol Serv Serbia, Kneza Viseslava 66, Belgrade 11000, Serbia
来源
IDOJARAS | 2016年 / 120卷 / 02期
关键词
annual and seasonal temperature trends; Mann-Kendall test; Vojvodina; MINIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURES; AIR-TEMPERATURE; HAIL SUPPRESSION; TIME-SERIES; PRECIPITATION; MAXIMUM; VARIABILITY; SURFACE;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The annual and seasonal trends of mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures were analyzed on the territory of Vojvodina, north Serbia. We used observed, quality controlled, homogenized, and spatially averaged data from 9 meteorological stations during two periods: 1949-2013 and 1979-2013. Positive trends were found in 29 out of the 30 analyzed time series using a linear tendency (trend) equation, while negative trends were found in only 1 case. After the application of the classical Mann-Kendall (MK) test, statistically significant positive trends were confirmed in 15 series, while in remaining cases, statistically significant trends were not confirmed. After applying the modified MK test, positive trends were found in 26 series, and 4 cases were with no trend. We find that significant positive trends are dominated during the year, spring and summer; and they are most numerous in the time series of monthly mean temperatures. In accordance with the behavior of analyzed trends, the increase of temperatures is dominant in Vojvodina.
引用
收藏
页码:183 / 198
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] ASSESSING AVERAGE ANNUAL AIR TEMPERATURE TRENDS USING THE MANN-KENDALL TEST IN KOSOVO
    Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
    Markovic, Slobodan B.
    Janc, Natalija
    Nikolic, Milena
    Valjarevic, Aleksandar
    Komac, Blaz
    Zorn, Matija
    Punisic, Milan
    Bacevic, Nikola
    ACTA GEOGRAPHICA SLOVENICA-GEOGRAFSKI ZBORNIK, 2018, 58 (01) : 7 - 25
  • [2] Investigating Trends in Streamflow and Precipitation in Huangfuchuan Basin with Wavelet Analysis and the Mann-Kendall Test
    Chen, Yuzhuang
    Guan, Yiqing
    Shao, Guangwen
    Zhang, Danrong
    WATER, 2016, 8 (03)
  • [3] Streamflow Variations in Monthly, Seasonal, Annual and Extreme Values Using Mann-Kendall, Spearmen's Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis
    Ashraf, Muhammad S.
    Ahmad, Ijaz
    Khan, Noor M.
    Zhang, Fan
    Bilal, Ahmed
    Guo, Jiali
    WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2021, 35 (01) : 243 - 261
  • [4] Evaluating piezometric trends using the Mann-Kendall test on the alluvial aquifers of the Elqui River basin, Chile
    Ribeiro, L.
    Kretschmer, N.
    Nascimento, J.
    Buxo, A.
    Roetting, T.
    Soto, G.
    Senoret, M.
    Oyarzun, J.
    Maturana, H.
    Oyarzun, R.
    HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, 2015, 60 (10): : 1840 - 1852
  • [5] Trends analysis of rainfall and rainfall extremes in Sarawak, Malaysia using modified Mann-Kendall test
    Sa'adi, Zulfaqar
    Shahid, Shamsuddin
    Ismail, Tarmizi
    Chung, Eun-Sung
    Wang, Xiao-Jun
    METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2019, 131 (03) : 263 - 277
  • [6] Annual rainfall trends in the Burkina Faso Sahel: a comparative analysis between Mann-Kendall and innovative trend method (ITM)
    Yameogo, Joseph
    DISCOVER APPLIED SCIENCES, 2025, 7 (03)
  • [7] Mann-Kendall trend analysis of surface air temperatures and rainfall in Iraq
    Robaa, El-Sayed M.
    Al-Barazanji, Zhian
    IDOJARAS, 2015, 119 (04): : 493 - 514
  • [8] Analysis of changes in meteorological variables using Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope estimator statistical tests in Serbia
    Gocic, Milan
    Trajkovic, Slavisa
    GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2013, 100 : 172 - 182
  • [9] Analysis of Water Yield Changes from 1981 to 2018 Using an Improved Mann-Kendall Test
    Gao, Han
    Jin, Jiaxin
    REMOTE SENSING, 2022, 14 (09)
  • [10] A trend analysis of seasonal average temperatures over 40 years in South Korea using Mann-Kendall test and sen's slope
    Jin, Dae-Hyun
    Jang, Sung-Hwan
    Kim, Hee-Kyung
    Lee, Yung-Seop
    KOREAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2021, 34 (03) : 439 - 447