A Model-Based Method for Detecting Persistent Cultural Change Using Panel Data

被引:24
作者
Vaisey, Stephen [1 ,2 ]
Kiley, Kevin [1 ]
机构
[1] Duke Univ, Dept Sociol, Durham, NC 27706 USA
[2] Duke Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Durham, NC 27708 USA
关键词
cultural change; personal culture; panel data; structural equation models; General Social Survey;
D O I
10.15195/v8.a5
中图分类号
C91 [社会学];
学科分类号
030301 ; 1204 ;
摘要
Recent work argues that changes in people's responses to the same question over time should be thought of as reflecting a fixed baseline subject to temporary local influences, rather than durable changes in response to new information. Distinguishing between these two individual-level process-a settled dispositions model and an active updating model-is important because these individual-level processes underlie different theories of population-level social change. This article introduces an alternative method for adjudicating between these two models based on structural equation modeling. This model provides a close fit to the theoretical models outlined in previous work. Applying this method to more than 500 questions in the General Social Survey's three-wave panels, we find even stronger evidence than previous work that most survey responses reflect settled dispositions developed prior to adulthood.
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页码:83 / 95
页数:13
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