Searching for solar-like interannual to bidecadal effects on temperature and precipitation over a Southern Hemisphere location

被引:4
作者
Heredia, Teresita [1 ,2 ]
Bazzano, Flavia M. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Cionco, Rodolfo G. [4 ,5 ,6 ]
Soon, Willie [7 ]
Medina, Franco D. [1 ]
Elias, Ana G. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nacl Tucuman, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Tecnol, Lab Fis Atmosfera, Av Independencia 1800, RA-4000 San Miguel De Tucuman, Tucuman, Argentina
[2] INFINOA CONICET UNT, San Miguel De Tucuman, Tucuman, Argentina
[3] Univ Nacl Tucuman, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Tecnol, Dept Construcc & Obras Civiles, Lab Construcc Hidraul, San Miguel De Tucuman, Tucuman, Argentina
[4] UNT, Comis Invest Cient Buenos Aires CICPBA, Colon 332, San Nicolas, Bs As, Argentina
[5] UNT, Grp Estudios Ambientales, Colon 332, San Nicolas, Bs As, Argentina
[6] Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[7] CERES, Salem, MA 01970 USA
关键词
Solar forcing; Barycentric dynamics; Greenhouse gases; Climate; RESOLUTION COHERENCE ANALYSIS; CLIMATE OSCILLATIONS; EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE; PLANETARY; TRENDS; VARIABILITY; AMERICA; ORIGIN; SYSTEM; SCALE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jastp.2019.105094
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
Precipitation and temperature over Tucuman (26.8 degrees S, 65.2 degrees W), a province located in the Northwestern region of Argentina, is analyzed for the interval 1889-2018 in search of any plausible statistical associations with impacts and responses from solar variability. The aim of the study was to contribute data to the controversial issue of climate variations in response to both anthropogenic and natural forcings. The long-term behavior of Tucuman climatic series involves overall warming and augmented precipitation tendencies, possibly linked to the increasing greenhouse gases concentration or even other local man-made factors like increasing urbanization. In addition, we identified sporadic similar to 4 and similar to 8-year periodicities, and a similar to 20-year oscillation after the 1950-1960's. Based on the physical hint that bidecadal periodicities detected in climate parameters are probably not linked to the solar 11-year-like irradiance cycles, we expand our scope of investigations to include another effect which has been recently considered in the dynamics of large rivers as "the planetary hypothesis of the solar cycles". This new hypothesis supposes that the barycentric dynamics of the Sun could be involved in modulations of the intrinsic solar magnetic and radiative output cycles and therefore Earth-bound climatic responses. Thus, we present a wide-ranging statistical analysis of correlation, cross spectrum, and coherence between Tucuman's climatic series and solar orbital parameters, including also the analysis of hemispheric mean temperatures. Our results show significant coherence at the similar to 20-year cycle, which is clearly present in the Sun's barycentric dynamic that could in turn be linked to some features of the quasi-decadal solar activity variations.
引用
收藏
页数:13
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