Improving the theoretical underpinnings of process-based hydrologic models

被引:90
作者
Clark, Martyn P. [1 ]
Schaefli, Bettina [2 ,3 ]
Schymanski, Stanislaus J. [4 ]
Samaniego, Luis [5 ]
Luce, Charles H. [6 ]
Jackson, Bethanna M. [7 ]
Freer, Jim E. [8 ]
Arnold, Jeffrey R. [9 ]
Moore, R. Dan [10 ]
Istanbulluoglu, Erkan [11 ]
Ceola, Serena [12 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Res Applicat Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
[2] Ecole Polytech Fed Lausanne, Sch Architecture Civil & Environm Engn, Lausanne, Switzerland
[3] Univ Lausanne, Fac Geosci & Environm, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
[4] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Zurich, Switzerland
[5] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, CHS, Leipzig, Germany
[6] USDA, Forest Serv, Res & Dev, Boise, ID USA
[7] Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Geog Environm & Earth Sci, Wellington, New Zealand
[8] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England
[9] US Army Corps Engineers, IWR JISAO, Seattle, WA USA
[10] Univ British Columbia, Dept Geog, Vancouver, BC, Canada
[11] Univ Washington, Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[12] Univ Bologna, DICAM, Bologna, Italy
关键词
hydrologic theory; multiple hypotheses; model evaluation; uncertainty; WATERSHED THERMODYNAMICS; ALTERNATIVE BLUEPRINT; UNIFYING FRAMEWORK; STORAGE DYNAMICS; ENERGY; LAND; PARAMETERIZATION; CATCHMENT; RESPONSES; SNOW;
D O I
10.1002/2015WR017910
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In this Commentary, we argue that it is possible to improve the physical realism of hydrologic models by making better use of existing hydrologic theory. We address the following questions: (1) what are some key elements of current hydrologic theory; (2) how can those elements best be incorporated where they may be missing in current models; and (3) how can we evaluate competing hydrologic theories across scales and locations? We propose that hydrologic science would benefit from a model-based community synthesis effort to reframe, integrate, and evaluate different explanations of hydrologic behavior, and provide a controlled avenue to find where understanding falls short.
引用
收藏
页码:2350 / 2365
页数:16
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