Applying game theory for securing oil and gas pipelines against terrorism

被引:35
作者
Rezazadeh, Amirali [1 ,2 ]
Talarico, Luca [3 ,4 ]
Reniers, Genserik [2 ,5 ,6 ]
Cozzani, Valerio [1 ]
Zhang, Laobing [2 ]
机构
[1] Alma Mater Studiorum Univ Bologna, LISES, Dipartimento Ingn Civile Chim Ambientale & Mat, Via Terracini 28, I-40131 Bologna, Italy
[2] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, S3G, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands
[3] Univ Antwerp, Fac Appl Econ, Res Grp ANT, Prinsstr 13, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium
[4] Univ Antwerp, Fac Appl Econ, Res Grp OR, Prinsstr 13, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium
[5] KULeuven, CEDON, Campus Brussels, B-1000 Brussels, Belgium
[6] Univ Antwerp, Fac Appl Econ, Antwerp Res Grp Safety & Secur ARGoSS, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.ress.2018.04.021
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Security-related risks of oil and gas pipelines are assessed in this paper using the technique of game theory in combination with a security risk assessment approach. A Socio-political index is defined and embedded in an innovative and comprehensive assessment method, considering the effects of social, economic and political elements on pipeline attractiveness and vulnerability. After having analysed the security threats, security measures, aimed at increasing the security level of a pipeline system, are assessed by using a game-theory model. The pipeline segments which are the most probable to be attacked are determined. In addition, having assessed the possible outcomes of attacks to each segment, the security of different segments of specific pipeline routes can be further improved. Our approach can efficiently allocate limited security resources to decrease the security risk along a pipeline route. It should be noted that although this study focuses on oil and gas pipelines, the proposed methodology could be easily adapted to other pipeline systems.
引用
收藏
页数:19
相关论文
共 34 条
  • [1] Amin Saberi, 1964, J SOC IND APPL MATH, V12, P413
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2005, Methods for the determination of particle density
  • [3] [Anonymous], METH DET POSS DAM GR
  • [4] The assessment of the attractiveness of process facilities to terrorist attacks
    Argenti, Francesca
    Landucci, Gabriele
    Spadoni, Gigliola
    Cozzani, Valerio
    [J]. SAFETY SCIENCE, 2015, 77 : 169 - 181
  • [5] Bier Azaiez, 2009, GAME THEORETIC RISK
  • [6] Bo An Shieh, 2012, AI MAGAZINE
  • [7] CCPS, 2009, GUID DEV QUANT SAF R
  • [8] CCPS, 2008, GUID CHEM TRANSP SAF
  • [9] Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS), 2003, GUID AN MAN SEC VULN
  • [10] Clark Riis, 1998, EXTENDED CONTEST SUC