La Nina;
Circulation/;
Dynamics;
Differential equations;
Southern Oscillation;
Models and modeling;
Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena;
ENSO;
El Nino;
Nonlinear models;
Mathematical and statistical techniques;
SINGULAR PERTURBATION-THEORY;
SUBTHRESHOLD OSCILLATIONS;
SEASONAL CYCLE;
CIRCULATION FEATURES;
ENSO;
NEURONS;
BIFURCATION;
FREQUENCY;
CANARDS;
CHAOS;
D O I:
10.1175/JAS-D-15-0191.1
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
Very strong El Nino events occur sporadically every 10-20 yr. The origin of this bursting behavior still remains elusive. Using a simplified three-dimensional dynamical model of the tropical Pacific climate system, which captures El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) combined with recently developed mathematical tools for fast-slow systems, the authors show that decadal ENSO bursting behavior can be explained as a mixed-mode oscillation (MMO), which also predicts a critical threshold for rapid amplitude growth. It is hypothesized that the MMO dynamics of the low-dimensional climate model can be linked to a saddle-focus equilibrium point, which mimics a tropical Pacific Ocean state without ocean circulation.
机构:
Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Chem Sci, Boulder, CO USAUniv Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
Butler, Amy H.
Polvani, Lorenzo M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA
Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA
Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Geol Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USAUniv Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
Polvani, Lorenzo M.
Deser, Clara
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USAUniv Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
机构:
US Geol Survey, La Jolla, CA USA
Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAVrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Dettinger, M. D.
Kummu, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Aalto Univ, Water & Dev Res Grp, Espoo, FinlandVrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, Amsterdam, Netherlands
机构:
Yonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Liu, Chao
An, Soon-Il
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h-index: 0
机构:
Yonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Yonsei Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
An, Soon-Il
Jin, Fei-Fei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol SOEST, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Jin, Fei-Fei
Shin, Jongsoo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Shin, Jongsoo
Kug, Jong-Seong
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea
Yonsei Univ, Inst Convergence Res & Educ Adv Technol, Seoul, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Kug, Jong-Seong
Zhang, Wenjun
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, CIC FEMD, ILCEC,Minist Educ KLME, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Atmospher Sci, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R ChinaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Zhang, Wenjun
Stuecker, Malte F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Oceanog, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol SOEST, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr IPRC, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol SOEST, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Stuecker, Malte F.
Yuan, Xinyi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
China Meteorol Adm CMA, Key Lab Transportat Meteorol, Nanjing 210041, Peoples R China
Jiangsu Meteorol Serv Ctr, Nanjing 210041, Peoples R ChinaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Yuan, Xinyi
Xue, Aoyun
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Xue, Aoyun
Geng, Xin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, CIC FEMD, ILCEC,Minist Educ KLME, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Atmospher Sci, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R ChinaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
Geng, Xin
Kim, Soong-Ki
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Yonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South KoreaYonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Seoul 03722, South Korea
机构:
Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan
Richter, Ingo
Kido, Shoichiro
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan
Kido, Shoichiro
Tozuka, Tomoki
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Sci, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Tokyo, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan
Tozuka, Tomoki
Kosaka, Yu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Tokyo, Res Ctr Adv Sci & Technol, Tokyo, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan
Kosaka, Yu
Tokinaga, Hiroki
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Kyushu Univ, Res Inst Appl Mech, Kasuga, JapanJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan
Tokinaga, Hiroki
Chang, Ping
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Texas A&M Univ, Dept Oceanog, College Stn, TX USAJapan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Value Added Informat Generat, Applicat Lab, Yokohama, Japan