A passenger travel demand model for Copenhagen

The passenger travel demand model for Copenhagen is a state-of-practice nested logit model in which the sub-models-i.e. generation, distribution and mode choice models-are connected via the measure of accessibility. The model includes in its structure a large set of explanatory variables at all three levels. The model validity is strongly asserted by the fact that the forecasting results for 2000 exhibit a very good fit to the observed car and public transport traffic, and that some model results (e.g. car driving cost elasticity) match the results from other well established models well. This paper aims to provide a detailed description of the model, which can be used as a guide to the future development of similar models. Also, an application of the model in a study of road pricing in Denmark is described. This gives the reader an idea of how such a policy measure can be modelled as well the plausible magnitude of changes caused by a road pricing system. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.