Bayesian estimation of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with asset prices

被引:3
作者
Kliem, Martin [1 ]
Uhlig, Harald [2 ]
机构
[1] Deutsch Bundesbank, Econ Res Ctr, Mainz, Germany
[2] Univ Chicago, Dept Econ, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Bayesian estimation; stochastic steady state; prior choice; Sharpe ratio; BUSINESS CYCLES; RISK-AVERSION; TEMPORAL BEHAVIOR; WAGE RIGIDITIES; DISCOUNT FACTOR; RARE DISASTERS; PREMIUM PUZZLE; LONG-RUN; CONSUMPTION; HABIT;
D O I
10.3982/QE396
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper presents a novel Bayesian method for estimating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models subject to a constrained posterior distribution for the implied Sharpe ratio. We apply our methodology to a DSGE model with habit formation in consumption and leisure, and show that the constrained estimation produces both reasonable asset-pricing and business-cycle implications. Next, we estimate the Smets-Wouters model subject to the same Sharpe ratio constraint. The results move the model closer to reproducing observed risk premia, but at increasing cost to its macroeconomic performance.
引用
收藏
页码:257 / 287
页数:31
相关论文
共 55 条
[1]  
ABEL AB, 1990, AM ECON REV, V80, P38
[2]  
[Anonymous], 0087 U TER DEP COMM
[3]  
[Anonymous], EC REV
[4]   RISK PREMIUMS IN THE TERM STRUCTURE - EVIDENCE FROM ARTIFICIAL ECONOMIES [J].
BACKUS, DK ;
GREGORY, AW ;
ZIN, SE .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 1989, 24 (03) :371-399
[5]   Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles [J].
Bansal, R ;
Yaron, A .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2004, 59 (04) :1481-1509
[6]   Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century [J].
Barro, Robert J. .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2006, 121 (03) :823-866
[7]   Real wage rigidities and the new Keynesian model [J].
Blanchard, Olivier ;
Gali, Jordi .
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING, 2007, 39 (01) :35-65
[8]   Habit persistence, asset returns, and the business cycle [J].
Boldrin, M ;
Christiano, LJ ;
Fisher, JDM .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2001, 91 (01) :149-166
[9]  
Boldrin M., 1997, MACROECON DYN, V1, P312
[10]  
Campbell J. Y., 2015, 14031 HARV BURS SCH