When modelling survival data it may be of interest to imagine an underlying process leading up to the event in question. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is a natural model to consider in a biological context because it stabilizes around some equilibrium point. This corresponds to the homeostasis often observed in biology, and also to some extent in the social sciences. First, we study the first-passage time distribution of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, focussing especially on what is termed quasi-stationarity and the various shapes of the hazard rate. Next, we consider a model where the individual hazard rate is a squared function of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We extend known results on this model. The results on quasi-stationarity are relevant for recent discussions about mortality plateaus. In addition, we point out a connection to models for short-term interest rates in financial modeling.
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Queens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, CanadaQueens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
Cressler, Clayton E.
Butler, Marguerite A.
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Univ Hawaii, Dept Zool, Honolulu, HI 96822 USAQueens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
Butler, Marguerite A.
King, Aaron A.
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Univ Michigan, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Univ Michigan, Dept Math, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USAQueens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
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Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Management Sci, Rizhao 276800, Shandong, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Management Sci, Rizhao 276800, Shandong, Peoples R China
Mu, Xiaojie
Jiang, Daqing
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China Univ Petr East China, Coll Sci, Qingdao 266580, Shandong, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Management Sci, Rizhao 276800, Shandong, Peoples R China