Common ratio using delay

被引:35
作者
Baucells, Manel [1 ]
Heukamp, Franz H. [1 ]
机构
[1] IESE Business Sch, Dept Managerial Decis Sci, Barcelona 08034, Spain
关键词
Risk and time preferences; Common ratio effect; RISK-AVERSION; CHOICE; TIME; UNCERTAINTY; PROBABILITY; CERTAINTY; IMMEDIACY; DECISION;
D O I
10.1007/s11238-008-9130-2
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We present an experiment in which we add a common delay in a choice between two risky prospects. The results show that delay produces the same change in preferences as in the well-documented common ratio effect in risky lotteries. The added common delay acts as if the probabilities were divided by some common ratio. Moreover, we show that there is a strong magnitude effect, in the sense that the effect of delay depends on the magnitude of the outcome. The results are consistent with the recently introduced probability time trade-off (PTT) model by Baucells and Heukamp. We present a parameterization of the model based on the experimental results, showing that the value function exhibits increasing relative risk aversion, the weighting function is s-shaped, and the intrinsic discount rate is decreasing.
引用
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页码:149 / 158
页数:10
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