An Effective Approach to the Repeated Cross-Sectional Design

被引:60
作者
Lebo, Matthew J. [1 ]
Weber, Christopher [2 ]
机构
[1] SUNY Stony Brook, Dept Polit Sci, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA
[2] Univ Arizona, Sch Govt & Publ Policy, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
关键词
FRACTIONAL-INTEGRATION; LONG MEMORY; DYNAMICS; TIME; MODELS; COURT;
D O I
10.1111/ajps.12095
中图分类号
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要
Repeated cross-sectional (RCS) designs are distinguishable from true panels and pooled cross-sectional time series (PCSTS) since cross-sectional units (e.g., individual survey respondents) appear but once in the data. This poses two serious challenges. First, as with PCSTS, autocorrelation threatens inferences. However, common solutions like differencing and using a lagged dependent variable are not possible with RCS since lags for i cannot be used. Second, although RCS designs contain information that allows both aggregate- and individual-level analyses, available methodsfrom pooled ordinary least squares to PCSTS to time seriesforce researchers to choose one level of analysis. The PCSTS tool kit does not provide an appropriate solution, and we offer one here: double filtering with ARFIMA methods to account for autocorrelation in longer RCS followed by the use of multilevel modeling to estimate both aggregate- and individual-level parameters simultaneously. We use Monte Carlo experiments and three applied examples to explore the advantages of our framework.
引用
收藏
页码:242 / 258
页数:17
相关论文
共 71 条
[21]   Investigating political dynamics using fractional integration methods [J].
Box-Steffensmeier, JM ;
Smith, RM .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 1998, 42 (02) :661-689
[22]   The dynamics of aggregate partisanship [J].
BoxSteffensmeier, JM ;
Smith, RM .
AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 1996, 90 (03) :567-580
[23]  
Brady Henry., 2006, CAPTURING CAMPAIGN E
[24]   The Transforming Power of Democracy: Regime Type and the Distribution of Electricity [J].
Brown, David S. ;
Mobarak, Ahmed Mushfiq .
AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2009, 103 (02) :193-213
[25]   The dynamics of aggregate political popularity: evidence from eight countries [J].
Byers, D ;
Davidson, J ;
Peel, D .
ELECTORAL STUDIES, 2000, 19 (01) :49-62
[26]   Out of step, out of office: Electoral accountability and house members' voting [J].
Canes-Wrone, B ;
Brady, DW ;
Cogan, JF .
AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2002, 96 (01) :127-140
[27]   Election cycles and the economic vote [J].
Carey, Sean ;
Lebo, Matthew J. .
POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY, 2006, 59 (04) :543-556
[28]   Men, women and the dynamics of presidential approval [J].
Clarke, HD ;
Stewart, MC ;
Ault, M ;
Elliott, E .
BRITISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 2005, 35 :31-51
[29]   Fractional (co)integration and governing party support in Britain [J].
Clarke, HD ;
Lebo, M .
BRITISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 2003, 33 :283-301
[30]   The political (and economic) origins of consumer confidence [J].
De Boef, S ;
Kellstedt, PM .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 2004, 48 (04) :633-649