The bubble contagion effect of COVID-19 outbreak: Evidence from crude oil and gold markets

被引:149
作者
Gharib, Cheima [1 ]
Mefteh-Wali, Salma [2 ]
Ben Jabeur, Sami [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Manouba, ESCT Sch Business, Quantitat Anal Res Grp QUARG, Manouba, Tunisia
[2] ESSCA Sch Management, 1 Rue Lakanal, F-49003 Angers, France
[3] ESDES Business Sch UCLyon, 10 Pl Arch, F-69002 Lyon, France
关键词
WTI; Gold; COVID-19; Contagion; Explosive process; Recursive rolling window; Time-varying Granger causality;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2020.101703
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper examines the causal relationship between crude oil and gold spot prices to assess how the economic impact of COVID-19 has affected them. We analyze West Texas Light crude oil (WTI) and gold prices from January 4, 2010, to May 4, 2020. We detect common periods of mild explosivity in WTI and gold markets. More importantly, we find a bilateral contagion effect of bubbles in oil and gold markets during the recent COVID-19 outbreak.
引用
收藏
页数:10
相关论文
共 34 条
  • [1] Aloui D, 2020, COVID 19's Impact on Crude Oil and Natural Gas S&P GS Indexes
  • [2] Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us
    Baumeister, Christiane
    Kilian, Lutz
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES, 2016, 30 (01) : 139 - 160
  • [3] Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold
    Baur, Dirk G.
    Lucey, Brian M.
    [J]. FINANCIAL REVIEW, 2010, 45 (02) : 217 - 229
  • [4] Is gold a safe haven? International evidence
    Baur, Dirk G.
    McDermott, Thomas K.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2010, 34 (08) : 1886 - 1898
  • [5] Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach
    Beckmann, Joscha
    Berger, Theo
    Czudaj, Robert
    [J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2015, 48 : 16 - 24
  • [6] RETRACTED: On the conditional dependence structure between oil, gold and USD exchange rates: Nested copula based GJR-GARCH model (Retracted Article)
    Bedoui, Rihab
    Braiek, Sana
    Guesmi, Khaled
    Chevallier, Julien
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 80 : 876 - 889
  • [7] The contagion effects of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from gold and cryptocurrencies
    Corbet, Shaen
    Larkin, Charles
    Lucey, Brian
    [J]. FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 35
  • [8] Diks C, 2005, STUD NONLINEAR DYN E, V9
  • [9] A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing
    Diks, Cees
    Panchenko, Valentyn
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2006, 30 (9-10) : 1647 - 1669
  • [10] The contagion effect of international crude oil price fluctuations on Chinese stock market investor sentiment
    Ding, Zhihua
    Liu, Zhenhua
    Zhang, Yuejun
    Long, Ruyin
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 187 : 27 - 36