PSHA:: is it science?

被引：75

作者：

Castaños, H

Lomnitz, C ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Geofis, Mexico City 04510, DF, Mexico

[2] Natl Autonomous Univ Mexico, Inst Invest Econ, Mexico City, DF, Mexico

来源：

ENGINEERING GEOLOGY | 2002年 / 66卷 / 3-4期

关键词：

probabilistic seismic hazard analysis; deterministic seismic hazard analysis; earthquakes;

D O I：

10.1016/S0013-7952(02)00039-X

中图分类号：

P5 [地质学];

学科分类号：

0709 ; 081803 ;

摘要：

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is beginning to be seen as unreliable. The problem with PSHA is that its data are inadequate and its logic is defective. Much more reliable, and more scientific, are deterministic procedures, especially when coupled with engineering judgment. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：315 / 317

页数：3