Who underreacts to cash-flow news? evidence from trading between individuals and institutions

被引:225
作者
Cohen, RB
Gompers, PA
Vuolteenaho, T [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Sch Business, Boston, MA 02163 USA
[3] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
overreaction; expected-return news; expected returns; investor heterogeneity;
D O I
10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00229-5
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
A large body of literature suggests that firm-level stock prices "underreact" to news about future cash flows; i.e., shocks to a firm's expected cash flows are positively correlated with shocks to expected returns on its stock. We examine the joint behavior of returns, cash-flow news, and trading between individuals and institutions. Institutions buy shares from (sell shares to) individuals in response to positive (negative) cash-flow news, thus exploiting the underreaction phenomenon. Institutions are not simply following price momentum strategies: When price goes up (down) in the absence of any cash-flow news, institutions sell shares to (buy shares from) individuals. Although institutions are trading in the "right" direction, institutions as a group outperform individuals by only 1.44% per annum before transaction and other costs, because they are extremely conservative in deviating from the value-weighted market index. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:409 / 462
页数:54
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